“Math 2.0” will need to value mathematical progress more holistically
mathstodon.xyz
[246 comments hidden]
There seems to be more interest in hitting some arbitrary benchmark (we proved X unsolved problems) than in genuinely contributing to mathematics. But what else is to be expected? It's become a maniacal race with too much money. Too much effort is being invested in proving that the exponential curve is still holding.
[30 comments hidden]
OAI obviously have a fiscal incentive here, but to presume a year from now we won't see improvements and more succinct work on the results coming from models?
[3 comments hidden]
OP didn’t suggest that.
The bar has been raised. Everyone has to meet it now. An inelegant solution squatted onto the internet doesn’t count as discovery per se, even if it’s impressive.
[15 comments hidden]
[8 comments hidden]
It’s fine that OpenAI posted their findings. It’s not fair to claim these problems have been solved. Not until someone can understand and verify the proof and then communicate the core, novel methodological element to someone else.
[hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
So yeah, probably we should stop saying "X has been solved", and instead say, "A Lean proof for X (or !X) has been generated". That doesn't change the fact that incentives are currently on finding the proof, and once the proof is generated by an AI, there's not currently a good mechanism / incentive structure to move that into the mathematical community. AI is here, so we need to find a new mechanism.
[3 comments hidden]
[hidden]
Possibly yes such a representation is possible. But it doesn’t mean it’s certain there is a "best compressed representation". And even less one that encompass everything important and that is understandable by any human brain, even the most exceptionally brilliant ones sponsored by a whole society to reach their best possible achievable performance on that goal through full dedication on that sole task.
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
Your phrasing is illuminating that perhaps they aren't engaged in the creation, understanding, or integration of these proofs by humanity; they just have them. For them, this is a slidedeck they can pass to investors, creditors, the marketing department. Something they can add to the employee onboarding pamphlet.
What should they do? Hyperbolic maybe, but perhaps engage with humanity.
[11 comments hidden]
If a random person is given a 60 page proof to digest and not the author, those hidden insights that _aren't_ in the paper might be completely inaccessible. Maybe the AI will "just" be able to provide the insights. Maybe. But pedagogy is tricky work, and despite these AIs being able to do all this fancy math we can't get them to write good cover letters yet, so....
Ultimately we might be left with just a bunch of intellectually unsatisfying proofs. This means way less drive to simplify the proofs or rework them.
End result: we generate a layer of "less efficient" mathematics, that won't get built upon. We will not actually have any shoulders upon which to stand.
[hidden]
The concern is being raised without evidence, because the evidence points to the gap simply being frontier models have just started to be able to get a raw proof out. Why, given existing progress, should we expect them to be unable to distill insights from those proofs?
Certainly this even more likely doesn't matter at all for applications: if I can send a radio signal further because my AIs design it a certain way, that's an unambiguous result. Which is really the next step here: turn a proof into a "mechanical" application.
[9 comments hidden]
[8 comments hidden]
The fact that they did not do so can only mean that either (1) their agents currently lack the capability to do it, or (2) OpenAI are completely indifferent and do not care in the slightest if the proofs are understood or not.
[4 comments hidden]
Come now, this is kind of unreasonable. When you're working on a new technology, you first get the ugly, inconvenient-to-use prototypes functioning with the core new thing you need; then you work on packaging it up into a format useable in production. I'm sure the very first digital camera sensors weren't very useful for photographers either; but it isn't really even possible to build the rest of the technology required to turn raw output of a digital sensor into something a professional photographer can use until you have the raw output itself.
The research is still on going on the raw output; getting things to the next stage, where the results are widely useable by professional mathematicians (and then on to engineers and scientists to whom the results would be practically useful), is a whole new research area.
[3 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
Like, "Orr... maybe they care a lot, but haven't gotten to that part yet?"
[3 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
And it's not like this is something where we're loaned some top math genius for a limited amount of time and we have to make the most of it. Rather, this is a new high water mark. The accessibility of the results is no longer scarce. The scarcity has shifted, and that's where the focus of the math ecosystem should shift as well. And it doesn't help for a frontier community to saturate and take over messaging pipelines that were typically managed by the math ecosystem. It's not about "stay in your lane" but rather "we need coherence and be careful not to break the system."
Just two cents from someone who could screw up basic cashier math on any given day.
[2 comments hidden]
Those few thousand mathematicians are now getting a taste of their own medicine. After all, it was people with extraordinary mathematical talent who developed machine learning and large language models, leaving hundreds of millions of people who earn their living through speaking, writing, or teaching worried about their future job prospects.
Still, I believe almost everyone will be fine. Perhaps AI will also prove good at coming up with new conjectures, and some mathematicians may shift towards applied mathematics or other sciences.
[5 comments hidden]
> genuinely contributing to mathematics
What's the difference between the two? Proofs are no longer the goalpost?
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[64 comments hidden]
One is that AI will continue hallucinating in a manner that is not easy to verify, second is that AI will not be enhanced to produced more simplified amd robust outputs, and third that a human will be required to do that. What humans in the loop are doing now is verify the process, propose shortcuts and add legitimacy, through the verification process, if that ends up being succesful its highly likely a lot less mathematicians will be required in the future.
The conclusion that this is not productive focuses on the mathematicians, but it is very productive in terms of hundreds of proofs being produced that had previously consumed uncountable hours of the brightest minds. Unless it ends up being the greatest hallucination ever ofcourse
[14 comments hidden]
[12 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
Maybe if we start with giving simple AI generated analysis of those clumsy humans with their measly 2700 elo moves
[8 comments hidden]
[4 comments hidden]
With Waymo and Tesla increasingly doing what they said they would do, and a small number of early adopters happily paying money for their services, that do work.
So what's the critique? That the timelines are not correct? Sure. And how about the timeline of the people who said "research level math, never in my lifetime" and the people inside the ai companies who are apparently increasingly spooked by how quick the progress is? How about the various levels of code/programming jobs that AI was supposedly never going to be able to do, but, in reality, now just does?
We are engaging in some very one-sided discrediting, and I am not sure, why.
[3 comments hidden]
https://www.wsj.com/articles/self-driving-cars-dont-do-snow-...
[2 comments hidden]
More telling: Waymo just rolled out in Denver (1 month ago or so), apparently fairly confident they got this handled given the upcoming winter.
Progress on the obvious stuff keeps happening (which kind of brings me my to the first comment here).
But also: It does not have to do "snow" to be useful! A lot of cars/people don't drive when it snows heavily, and that's something we have always been okay with (at a societal level, YMMV of course). If was only useful 95% of the year that's still great. A lot of technology works like that.
[hidden]
You just don’t notice that because evolution has given you 99% of what is needed to drive a car before you were even born.
[hidden]
[1] https://dev.to/natcher/researchers-develop-method-to-train-l...
[8 comments hidden]
There is literally not a single shred of evidence to indicate either of your supposed eventualities. The core technology of an LLM is sampling from a distribution so there is literally no way to make it deterministically robust (only probabilistically).
[hidden]
What has been demonstrated is a process that outputs lean proofs based on those probabilities. This happened after decades markov chain producing garbled texts and very shortly after gpt2 producing stories about unicorns.
[4 comments hidden]
An LLM mostly deterministically (except parallel processing nondeterminism that can be mitigated) produces a probability distribution that can be sampled deterministically: just take the highest probability token or use beam search.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
You might have a point if the goal was to have LLMs that spit out a correct proof without chain of thought or tool use. LLMs + agent harnesses are more than capable of self verification and course correction.
[10 comments hidden]
Hold up, that's an even bigger assumption in the opposite direction, and I don't see anything to support it.
At least in terms LLMs getting all the "AI" hype these days, there is no structural/mathematical reason to believe they won't continue to have the same problem they've always had of generating plausible text over rational text, and I don't think anybody even has a clear idea how it could eventually be accomplished.
I've seen "then the magic singularity occurs and somehow it solves the problem for itself", but I would classify that more as mysticism than engineering.
[hidden]
[8 comments hidden]
Two years ago, hallucinating that the code worked or that a task was accomplished was a common occurrence.
We have seen that now agent swarms across thousands of agents can coordinate to achieve a result.
Clearly hallucinations are no longer the problem they once were, since now we can get working results for long horizon tasks that require massive compute.
Consequently it would seem unwise to assume that current limitations will remain as they are and prevent LLMs from coming up with solutions that they can explain to humans.
[hidden]
It happens in more subtle ways, but it still happens often enough for me to notice. For example I have had hallucinated checksums show up in lock files as recently as yesterday using a SOTA model.
This is not surprising, since the whole basis of LLM training is to produce output that humans will accept _as a proxy for actual training goals_. In a sense, the training process of an LLM “wants” to produce output that is statistically plausible much more than it “wants” to produce correct output. It’s always going to be a struggle to drive that system towards other goals (and we see this bourne out in practice by the amount of effort that is required to be spent on RL).
I think there will be some threshold of correctness (something like 99.999% of the time) that if the model surpasses it, I can stop needing to check it, but I think we’re still at 99% or something which sounds good, but when you are producing a ton of output you hit that 1% frequently.
> Consequently it would seem unwise to assume that current limitations will remain as they are and prevent LLMs from coming up with solutions that they can explain to humans.
I 100% agree with this. In fact explaining things to humans is something LLMs are particularly well suited for.
[6 comments hidden]
[5 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
This is just a fact. I'm sorry if it messes with your narrative.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
I work on a device that gets firmware updates over USB-DFU. If a DFU fails, its bootloader restarts, re-enumerates USB, and waits for a new DFU to begin. AI decided there's a risk of bricking the device if an update fails. There's no brick risk, a retry fixes it.
The same device uses CAN bus, with the common bosch_mcan peripheral. Claude decided that calling can_mcan_stop followed by can_mcan_start somehow left the transmit buffers intact, and tried to implement a fix which manually cleared the buffers. They're cleared automatically by the hardware when can_mcan_stop is called, and that's documented in the comments of can_mcan_stop.
Both cases could have resulted in unnecessary changes getting deployed which wouldn't have fixed the actual issues. Since it's embedded that could mean significant delays to getting fixes to customers.
[hidden]
And yeah I get hallucinations all the time still. Maybe it's because I'm working on harder/more niche problems (like a compiler with an unusual type system), but it happens quite a lot. I don't record all of them.
Although the most common one you can find is them misattributing the source of changes from themselves and also other agents (Fable, Opus 5.5, deepseek, whatever). They'll say "your changes" or "you changed" or "your ruling." I didn't decide anything and it's in their own chat log, and yet...
[5 comments hidden]
[4 comments hidden]
[15 comments hidden]
It is an old saw at this point, but what an LLM does still cannot be divided into hallucination and non-hallucination. This is literally an anthropomorphism trap.
Layers and layers of application-specific verification can reduce the risks inherent to LLMs, to a really remarkable degree, but nothing about what these tools are suggests that this problem will go away; it will just bubble up again somewhere else.
[hidden]
An old saw unless something that's widely accepted, but sadly it seems that many people don't recognize this, even many people working in the field.
[12 comments hidden]
For all that I saw over the last few hundred hours with AI on software engineering, hallucinations are no longer a problem at all.
Not once have I seen a task fail due to what would have been a "hallucination". If they still occur, they can apparently be detected and corrected automatically, or are subtle enough to escape notice with presumably no significant impact on the results.
Why would this not also be the case for mathematics?
[11 comments hidden]
[10 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
"Test suite passed" when it actually errored? Obvious hallucination, unless it ran a command that returned the wrong error code.
But is running a malformed command that does not achieve the expected effect itself a hallucination?
[hidden]
I'd say a hallucination (very misleading word) or confabulation or "making shit up" happens when an LLM uses factual / evidential language purely based on local statistical expectations of the text, instead of it drawing from actual evidence in its context pointing to it.
This is murkier in the case of general knowledge questions, like when and where was some famous person born. It may then be a spectrum from fully making something up based on how the name sounds, all the way to confidently retrieving it from its weights correctly. In between, we can get hallucinations. But newer models are taught to use Web Search when unsure, and it works pretty well, though not perfectly. I don't see any fundamental limit here. It's just not perfect. Trying to solve "the hallucination problem" is basically like saying "our dog vs. cat classifier is pretty good already with its 99% accuracy, now all we need to do is the tiny little task of eliminating the 1% error, and we will be golden". Like, no shit, there is some error yes. People are working to reduce it. It will never be absolutely 100%. It's not an insight to say we should remove hallucinations.
[5 comments hidden]
To fold that back in (and ham-it-up a bit) how about:
> There is nothing qualitatively different when Pet Classifier <ironic-quote>maliciously misreports</ironic-quote> your cat as a dog, compared to when it works <ironic-quote>honestly</ironic-quote>.
[4 comments hidden]
I agree that hallucination isn't some kind of "different" operation than "normal". It's not like when a train derails and you can point to it. It just operates as normal and sometimes that yields correct factual outputs, sometimes not. You don't have to metaphysically ascribe any kind of intent to it.
I'm not sure how people conceptualize these things who weren't doing classical machine learning before all this. To me, "hallucination" is shorthand, and we know it's not like humans on drugs or something. It was used in the literature also for any kind of generative imputing of missing information from a learned prior. For example in image inpainting a GAN "hallucinates" the missing part of the image. This terminology was already used in the 2010s and probably earlier. Or in image colorization of grayscale photos, the model "hallucinates" the color information.
Then the word escaped into the mainstream and people have weird connotations about it.
[3 comments hidden]
One of my bugbears is when people abuse the term "Ponzi Scheme" to refer to literally anything the think is unsustainable. (As opposed to something that, at a minimum, requires someone telling factual-lies about assets.) Kind of like if folks started calling every kind of software error a "Buffer Overflow."
[2 comments hidden]
This is quite a specific sense, and isn't equal to just any kind of "unsustainable" system. Things can be unsustainable for reasons other than being a pyramid scheme relying on rapidly growing numbers of people being brought in by the ones already in the system.
[hidden]
1. Actual Fraud
* A Ponzi Scheme requires lying to people about what assets currently exist, or how much of the asset is reserved as "theirs".
* A Pyramid Scheme just asks people to collectively speculate (without guarantee) that tangible profits will arrive.
2. Layers
* A Ponzi Scheme can be one criminal and an indefinite number of unwitting victims. [0]
* A Pyramid scheme (like the structure) requires *growing interior layers* of participants that blur the line between victimizer and victim.
[0] Insofar as some Ponzi Scheme targets do not suffer losses, that's not because they were necessarily complicit, but because the criminal strategically chose to let some marks exit in order to maintain the illusion.[2 comments hidden]
Where does this "will probably not hold in the very near future" come from? People correctly warn about extrapolating current things onto the future, but then just throw some vague "probabilities" without providing any argument why their "probably" is somehow more grounded than others.
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
This means when writing documentation, tutorials or commit messages, their output is often a garbled jumble. Assuming shared context, using invented terminology without explaining, leaking conversational states due to improper epistemic boundaries and failing to model the reader. This all usually leads to their freely generated explanations being terrible. Getting good explanations requires chaining questions that force them to line things up properly, which is not easy the less you know. These failures as something LLMs naturally struggle with make sense, given the nature of attention and RL with weak signals from human data.
Math is not merely a collection of proofs, it's a way of understanding. A proof presented in a manner that cannot be incorporated remains useless. It does not make it's way to physics like Riemannian geometry and matrix math did. This is no less true when done by humans too.
Your hallucination conclusion, checking if a proof is one, is exactly the counterproductive cost.
Most of us cannot verify that the claims in the OpenAI lore dump are in fact all correct. It will take tons of work from experts to do this. It took subject expert mathematicians to identify the discrepancy and disconnect in the Navier Stokes proofs, for example. LLMs will struggle to make use of their own proofs or turn them into knowledge that accumulates over time.
The act of proving is often more valuable than the proof itself. Human constraints and limitations force us to invent tools and abstractions that a 100,000 x 1M context swarm can bypass. The tradeoff from that AI swarm advantage is work that doesn't usually lend itself to being built upon. It's like doing all the side quests and reading all the books of an RPG versus min maxing a straight path with a guide. We might try to identify new abstractions, but the fact that we don't get access to CoT and that much of it will be illegible means mining LLM traces for what human mathematicians produce naturally will be a tedious chore.
[hidden]
This is a feature, and a huge step forward.
If you expect AI to do serious work, you can’t have it guessing what you “really meant”. Every sufficiently advanced task depends on very subtle details in the problem statement, and the correct default behavior for advanced AIs is to solve the task exactly as stated, unless a system prompt or other constraint tells it to do otherwise.
[hidden]
Here's a longer article which goes into a bit more of the details: https://terrytao.wordpress.com/2026/10/05/the-future-of-math...
[6 comments hidden]
You’re making the following assumptions:
1. the exercise of struggling to find proofs was not productive, but this is precisely how new techniques in math were produced. Brute forcing solutions doesn’t lend itself to the creation of much new mathematics (except maybe the exercise of developing verifiable proofs)
2. the point of doing mathematics is to be “productive” in the first place. This is silly. Many people get into mathematics because of the beauty of understanding, for example.
[4 comments hidden]
Are they independently wealthy? Or do they have a deal with their local supermarket that they can take food for free?
[3 comments hidden]
If your point is that capitalism fucks up the incentive structure and makes it all about maximizing productivity then I wholeheartedly agree with you.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
To slightly deflect your question, what do you think will arise naturally?
I’d put my money on feudalism if SOTA model providers can stay far ahead of open weights models. However if that proves infeasible and everyone ends up having access to local AGI does that serve to level the playing field? What resources are still going to be scarce in the coming decades?
[hidden]
[5 comments hidden]
This is a transitive period. In a few years, verification and exchange between model instances will happen faster than humans can follow. Human input will be an ethical question, and not a productivity one, because it will be the bottleneck in any science.
[hidden]
If the focus in placed on maximizing some easily measurable output on a narrow perspective, situation is unlikely going to match a sweet spot of holistic equilibrium which is maximizing harmony and happiness through humanity as a whole.
[62 comments hidden]
In example of go where I'm more familiar Google deep mind poured large resources to get a super human performance first, establish superiority and abandon it. The community then built their own tools starting from reproducing their papers.
I think similar thing might happen to math. Nobody outside of math cares too much about Hamiltonian cycles in some bizarre graphs or proving lower bounds on complexity of some problem.
Once those results stop being worthy of mainstream media attention, they will abandon math and the progress will be done by mathemicians guiding the models and the community will likely establish some new rules about what makes a valuable contribution. Merely solving not yet solved problem might not be it anymore.
[9 comments hidden]
[4 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
It is also fascinating, because I don't think there is any solution within our existing system, at least not any I know of. Theorem ownership is not a good solution (and neither are patents in general). Probably the most achievable (or rather the least unachievable) solution is a kind of communist utopia, where people can dedicate their time to a pursuit of any endeavor they see fit, as resources for a decent life are abundant and excessive power capture impossible. (The other option, somewhat dystopian, and which would not require humanity to change too much in its current mode of conduct, would be a totalitarian or caste-like capture of society by the scientific community.)
Incidentally, if AI proves as powerful as some expect it to become, it could bring about another solution of that issue by making all human science and mathematics obsolete, pushing its true market value to zero.
(With apologies for rambling.)
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
I wonder if it makes conceptualization simpler for models too, given that they're trained already on human-speak. And I'm also curious as to whether humans currently have an innate advantage into simplifying and contextualizing proofs, or will the machines get good at that as well?
[5 comments hidden]
I was bitter about that back in the day as I hoped for more answers, more matches, more "truth" about chess being shown. Soon after that community project Leela Chess Zero was started and not only surpassed original AlphaZero but added few hundred ELO points over it. Then the combination of NN and classical engines happened with NNUE and current Stockfish is again a few hundred ELO points stronger.
Today we pretty much know the truth in chess for all practical purposes. Human analysts/preparation experts focus on finding interesting path and opponent profiling (what is the most unpleasant for the opponent to face). They don't look for truth anymore. The game is doing great, it's more popular than it ever was.
[4 comments hidden]
https://en.chessbase.com/post/the-full-alphazero-paper-is-pu...
[3 comments hidden]
The result was that Stockfish lost many games by walking into known bad lines and lost way more games than it otherwise would.
[2 comments hidden]
> We also played a match that started from the set of opening positions used in the 2016 TCEC world championship, along with a series of additional matches against the most recent development version of Stockfish, and a variant of Stockfish that uses a strong opening book. In all matches, AlphaZero won.
https://deepmind.google/blog/alphazero-shedding-new-light-on...
[hidden]
I am not claiming AlphaZero wasn't stronger. It wasn't as strong as the PR piece suggested though and we have never seen the games being published. In chess this is extraordinary because basically all games in chess are publicly available - both human and computer games. Claiming "we have created a strong engine that has beaten Stockfish with opening book" while not showing those games (or details about opening book used) is akin to "we solved this math conjecture" without showing any kind of proof or argument.
Publishing a few 1000 of games costs nothing. Tens/hundreds of thousands of games are published every day.
[hidden]
But, I do think you are right that there will be some level of moving on. The spotlight is currently on maths and that won't last. It will move to some other area where there is more impact to be had. So while they might shift gears and put less focus on math, it will always be there as part of the portfolio.
[hidden]
[7 comments hidden]
I definitely think that this is marketing, just "with good side effects". My doubt is when they will be able to move to "marketing with better side effects", that is, research with more concrete outcomes (health, materials etc.).
Problem is, that type of research is much harder. Some doubt that progress in such areas will be quick (https://www.noahpinion.blog/p/wheres-the-intelligence-explos...).
[3 comments hidden]
While top AI labs no longer focus on chess, the community build way better chess engines.
Stockfish is probably stronger, than everything the top labs build.
Wouldn't we expect the same thing for math? That slowly the broader math community would engineer a harness/program... That will surpass the current labs, and be a community ran project
[2 comments hidden]
In the case of chess this seems fine, there isn't much value to society in creating an AI capable of beating top humans with a 4 pawn handicap rather than a 2 pawn one, but for maths where there are actual applications it is more complicated.
[9 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
We are at the point where the way in which humans do math and science changes significantly, and I have no good idea at all in what state is it going to settle down. But you are one of (many, I suppose) people exploring the new wilderness, so I wish you best.
[hidden]
[6 comments hidden]
Unless they decide that trying p!=np is worth any money.
[3 comments hidden]
We'd be nowhere without Laplace and Fourier transforms, Maxwell's equations, elliptic curve cryptography, and many more.
Most math doesn't, but often these techniques are invented first and the applications come later.
And the criticism of the current round of proofs is that while they may be true - likely for some, questionable for others - they're not adding new techniques or insights.
[hidden]
There's a great paper from Abraham Flexner on this topic:
https://worrydream.com/refs/Flexner_1939_-_The_Usefulness_of...
It argues exactly that we should be allowed to pursue the seemingly "useless" knowledge.
Previously discussed on HN:
[hidden]
However, there's some of this that's a proxy - the compute to solve these problems was very low (they claim a few hours of thinking time on a regular subscription). The large cost would have been the training and if training the models to be better at these things makes them smarter for useful tasks that's beneficial. I believe there was work done earlier on around showing that training the models on code made them better at broader reasoning tasks (not just writing the code itself).
Another side is that if one goal is to improve the models themselves, their ability to work on mathsy problems must be high. That has very direct business value, and ideological value depending on what you think the motivations of the people running the companies are.
[hidden]
There are architectural advancements yes, but lots of progress from LLMs really come from (1) better pre-training [generally through more cleaned data, and ofc more data], and (2) lots and lots of post-training. It's how we get more and more intelligent models for the same param sizes.
The 'marketing' is just a useful side effect they get from their RL rollouts on maths and LEAN.
[hidden]
Being able to present useful novel ideas would likely generate a lot of press, for a while. I don’t know how this would look since I’m useless at math, but Im sure there are plenty of unknown problems with massive implications, that once formulated can be solved.
[hidden]
[19 comments hidden]
Pretty much the only enterprise that historically pays some mathematicians handsomely is quant finance, but those people are actually compensated not for proving theorems but rather for statistical modeling and programming skills. And even that industry is so technologically driven these days that pure research mathematicians no longer hold a clear edge over strong programmers with undergrad level probability and statistics at their fingertips.
[hidden]
[6 comments hidden]
The $$$ they're pouring isn't just for marketing. Think of these papers/results more as "useful side effects" from large-scale RL rollouts and post-training. Every token being generated contributes to post-training in some way.
There isn't a hard boundary between "training" or "inference", modern post-training is arguably inference-bound :)
[4 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
See: Learning in High Dimension Always Amounts to Extrapolation Randall Balestriero, Jerome Pesenti, Yann LeCun https://arxiv.org/abs/2110.09485
I guess you mean by "interpolation" that it's some kind of nonlinear combination of the training data, but that's an almost vacuous statement. Any input-output relationship has to be so by definition.
Or perhaps you mean that interpolation is when the test input comes from the same distribution as the training input (though this is not technically the meaning of "interpolation"). But this is also quite difficult to pin down.
[11 comments hidden]
Don't hire a straight-A student, unless it's to take exams; or a professor, unless it's to write papers.
-- Nassim Taleb
How interesting that Anthropic and OpenAI are full of professors and straight-A students![7 comments hidden]
[4 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
Go was a specialized application. All the math results come as a side effect of reading the whole internet, and it will keep reading the whole internet. It will keep practicing thinking questions. Actually, math might be one of the best ways to keep them contemplating and measure their contemplation abilities, so math will always stay in the loop.
Also, math might not be useful just for humanity, but also for AI, so the system might actively benefit from new math results itself. (Not sure if any of the recent proofs qualify, but future work might.)
[5 comments hidden]
To take this to the next step, what happened after deep mind pretty much solved Go is that they started looking for the next set of things that hadn't been done yet. It does strike me as very likely that this will follow that same path.
[hidden]
Never has been.
See: Mochizuki's "proof" of the ABC conjecture [1].
In short, mathematics is an art of storytelling as much as anything else.
Writing a boring story, much less an incomprehensible one is worth exactly nothing, and doesn't matter.
Is it cool that the machine can connect the dots that people put out there in a form that happens to be easily ingestible?
Yeah.
Can the machine answer why give a fuck about a result like that?
Nope. That work has already been put in by people.
The most obvious impact of this BS is that interesting problems with potential to be solved, which were already a scarce resource, will no longer be shared.
It's already become a huge issue without AI being involved, due to the rat race nature of academia.
There's even an industry term for when someone gets a wind of another person's progress on such a problem, and solves it before them - it's called "getting scooped"[2].
It doesn't mean that they got access to the results. It can be as simple as e.g. an experienced mathematician hearing about a problem that a PhD student is working on for their thesis, and scooping it.
Honestly, as a mathematician-turned-software-engineer, I see and hear both sides, and both sides are lying:
* The AI companies are lying that what the LLMs produce is "mathematics". Writing a proof, even a correct proof, is not what mathematics is about. The Fundamental Theorem of Algebra has been "proven" incorrectly four times IIRC, but it was mathematics nonetheless.
Mochizuki's "proof", on the other hand, may be correct, but over a decade later, it's still not really mathematics, because transfer of insight is a fundamental component of it, and insight is a thing that the AI, presently at least, doesn't do, no matter how many proofs it produces.
Proof automation has been a field for a long time, for that matter; hyperscaling it doesn't change the nature of things.
The lie is also that a correct proof is the final point. The Four-Color Theorem[3] was proven in 1976, yet people were still proving it 20 years later, trying to reduce the number of cases to leave to the machine, even as we got it super-duper-verified by theorem-proving software in 2005[4].
The writing was on the wall since computers were invented, so why are mathematicians making Pikachu faces now?
That's where the other lie comes in.
* Mathematicians are lying to everyone else by suggesting that the technology is the problem, or that the issue is with how the technology impacts people, and not with the COMPLETELY, ABSURDLY FUCKED UP ORGANIZATIONAL STRUCTURE OF ACADEMIA, and I can't scream it in bold enough caps lock.
There's a reason websites like "100 reasons to NOT go to grad school"[5] exist, and all who've gone through the masochistic 5+ year journey can attest that actually, the reality is worse.
Closer to the point, there's a reason Grothendieck burned most of his work and fucked off from mathematics in the 90s, and Perelman did the same, in effect, in 2000s[6], while putting a million dollar weight to his statement that MATH SOCIETY IS FUCKED.
To all the mathematicians running in circles screaming AaaaAaaAAAaa, Perelman can now say: told you so.
See, after we discussed what math is about (insight transfer), let's do a peculiar little observation that this is exactly what's rewarded THE LEAST in the field.
"Teaching jobs" are a punishment for those who don't do good enough, and doing good means cranking out proofs in a publish-or-perish race, emitting just enough for others to verify correctness, but not too much lest you don't have enough for the next year's publication quota (or, if you are a mastodon, enough for your grad students/postdocs to work on).
The industry where the incentive structure creates and rewards scooping as a concept turned out to be vulnerable to scooping at scale.
O the humanity!
'No Way to Prevent This,' Says Only Industry Where This Regularly Happens.
So the lie to everyone else is that problem isn't 100% a social one in the mathematics community. Not even mathematics.
The way we do math doesn't have to change, and it won't. We've had theorem provers for decades, remember?
What will, I hope, change - what has to change, as Perelman cried out loud (and paid $1M for people to hear him - without listening, it appears) -
- is the way mathematicians treat each other.
That's to say, what gets rewarded, what gets penalized; the incentive structure, and so on.
In Google-speak: the real problem here is that the perf is fucked up, and what counted as impact before can now be automated, threatening the entire hierarchy of resource allocation (in particular, headcount).
This is not only NOT a tech problem (which won't be solved by changing the behavior of AI companies), it's not a problem with the way we do math or adapting to the progress either.
It's the ROTTEN INCENTIVE STRUCTURE OF ACADEMIA that is showing its cracks, and mathematics is where it's apparent the most at this moment because, as Vladimir Arnold told us, mathematics is a branch of physics in which experiments are cheap[7] - and more pertinently, could be performed by LLMs without human involvement.
Unlike the biotech lab where someone still has to wash the beakers, mathematics doesn't have that moat. Hence the conundrum.
Will the mathematical community adapt and fix its publish-or-perish problem, or will it simply become a cult, like it used to be[8]?
Given that a colleague of mine wrote that satire years before LLM proofs were on anyone's radar, I'm not having much hope.
Stay tuned.
[1] https://www.quantamagazine.org/titans-of-mathematics-clash-o...
[2] https://quantixed.org/2018/03/19/scoop-some-practical-advice...
[3] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Four_color_theorem
[4] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Proof_assistant
[5] https://100rsns.blogspot.com
[6] https://www.nbcnews.com/id/wbna38039068
[7] https://archive-dsweb.siam.org/The-Magazine/All-Issues/vi-ar...
[8] https://www.mcsweeneys.net/articles/an-open-letter-to-the-ma...
[hidden]
Given sustained exponential growth is mathematically impossible to maintain with finite resources, it's funny to me they're using advanced mathematics to try and achieve this.
[hidden]
The amount of Confluence pages of "research" that is just a dump of LLM output someone passed to me to review is staggering
I hate this approach, it's unbelievably selfish
[2 comments hidden]
Mathematics will revert to it's main practice, which is to study.
There are lots of weird panic reactions by some prominent problem solvers. See for example the ridiculous cease and desist like statement of AHM shared at Tao blog.
Put this Math 1-2.0 with that AHM statement together and you'll realize that this is a power struggle and that you see only one side of it.
Mathematicians have very diverse opinions about this. I, for example, am for as much as possible automatic harvesting of all these "low hanging" fruits. Should be disclosed as soon as possible, free of any bottleneck, and citable. The mathematics community may do whatever its various members desire to do with these results. Let them decide individually what to do with them. This AI tool is here to stay.
[7 comments hidden]
What work do you think mathematicians do normally?
Like they sit whole day and have ideas? And where are the ideas?
The way I see it, _some_ mathematicians enjoy solving puzzles, and now AI is better at solving puzzles.
This does not affect people building new theories.
Also, it's quite prestigious to write a _book_ on some topic. And guess what writing a book entails? Refining and expanding. What you call grunt work.
[4 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
OTOH a marginal value of a single paper in a paper dump is basically zero. Nobody gives a flying fuck if they made 100 or 200 papers. It won't give them even a single customer. If they released, say, 5 paper per month it would generate a buzz but not as much backlash from mathematicians.
[2 comments hidden]
Actually, the problem is, somehow the skill of building new theories in math is directly tied to slaving hard over a problem. It's the very experience of slaving away that actually somehow causes ideas to form. Pretty much all mathematicians understand this. Yes, senior mathematicians now can form some new theories, but what about junior ones who will have very little experience in working hard on a problem by hand?
Of course, they could work on the problem by hand anyway, but they won't because no one will pay them when a machine can do it.
[hidden]
Let's start with the fact that mathematicians aren't paid for results. Institution which gives them salary fundamentally doesn't give a fuck about theorems. They might care about having top-grade mathematicians for prestige, or because they believe that countries which are "good at math" also do better in science, engineering, etc.
> somehow the skill of building new theories in math is directly tied to slaving hard over a problem
We don't know if that's the only way. Perhaps collaboration with AI is just as good. Why reject it before it has been tried?
> what about junior ones
Junior guy with brilliant new ideas might benefit the most from AI as it can compensate for lacking technical chops and breadth of knowledge.
[hidden]
I feel the same way about academia, the papers, the citations, the ego, the narcissism and the taxpayer codependency that got cut off and turns out wasn’t necessary at all thanks to a private sector entity running laps around them
I don’t feel that academics need to pursue the discipline and distributed brain-wracking that has sometimes resulted in the solved math problems, just because more times they find other nooks and crannies to explore along the way. I think the blueprint is enough. Standing on the shoulders of giants is good enough.
and if the concern is that they can’t figure out what to do with a proof, next year’s AI will
[hidden]
Many of the best startup ideas by the best product and engineering minds failed to gain attention and funding. Same with much of the best music - relegated to hard drives with derivative ideas only resurfaced decades later
I would expect much of the recent math dump will be leveraged by other LLM-driven research teams rather than read in depth by a human
[hidden]
[5 comments hidden]
I tend to agree with this, but what is the alternative? Should OpenAI and Anthropic employ hundreds of mathematicians to do this work? Should they just not solve math problems within their reach?
[hidden]
It's unclear what more could be expected than releasing the presumably already verified results and write-ups for each problem. Should they run a mathematics school too?
Then the comment goes on to argue AI labs were not interested in actually advancing mathematics, and that investments into AI were manically excessive.
IMO none of this follows and demand is there to justify the investments.
The comment then goes further to argue that AI labs were putting too much effort into pretending there was exponential progress rather than actually making progress.
The factual basis for this claim seems to be that OpenAI released math results and write-ups, and it's not even clear what more they could do on that topic.
That's a very negative opinion.
[2 comments hidden]
So yes, that is exactly what they should do. Alternatively, if they are too lazy or incompetent to put in the effort themselves, do what AGMAI proposed and fund a third party to help out.
[hidden]
Hm, kinda reminds me of my college days. "Proof trivial, left as home work." was a sentence my Profs loved to say.
[5 comments hidden]
The more information the better.
The entire purpose of published work is to remove noise (and perhaps incentivize work through attributing credit).
This information is now out there. You can choose to ignore it if you wish. You may just find yourself a century behind in research.
And on that point most of this research has been looked at by their mathematics panel and comes with lean certificates, it's not exactly noise.
This to me is more the old guard not willing to let go or change their ways.
[2 comments hidden]
And if it's hard to understand (which seems to be the most common reaction) it's not exactly devoid of noise either
There was an opportunity for people to work with the AI to produce a proof, now it almost feels they're working against it.
[2 comments hidden]
I think a problem is that math seems like a deeply toxic, ego driven domain.
I think he argued that e.g because the navier stokes millennium problem ist considered solved now, you won't get any recognition for being the first human to solve.(How would you even proof you solved it yourself and not just regurgitated the ai proof?)
And since recognition is the main objective, noone would spend time on dissecting the proof, and perhaps finding some unique approach to solving the problem, that could be transferred to other open issues.
And therefore the problem is now "poisoned". Since it's assumed to be solved noone will research it, and the potential revelations won't be found
[hidden]
During your write up, I'd imagine you would check it's not already out there too. And once complete it's cheap and easy to run it through an LLM and ask is this covered by anything else out there. If its novel and not published it doesn't matter what others say.
Research is already messy as it stands. Something new can already be dismissed by incumbents as "not novel enough" especially in niche fields where they're likely to be the ones conducting peer review.
[18 comments hidden]
[15 comments hidden]
[8 comments hidden]
[7 comments hidden]
[6 comments hidden]
[5 comments hidden]
Peer reviewed and published insights are proven invalid all the time. This is the nature of research and how we learn.
[4 comments hidden]
We don't know the current system can work well enough at this scale, because that's un-knowable. We know it can find some of the problems. We don't know it can find all of them.
We do know it takes more effort - that's knowable. Increased data takes increased processing.
Whether the community has the required effort available, seems unlikely, considering the expertise required to be able to assess these things hasn't changed. Only the ability to generate them has increased.
[3 comments hidden]
I feel your concern stems from the risk that there is additional noise everyone needs to cut through.
In reality this isn't any tom, dick or Harry giving you their vibe code output. They have spent millions of dollars on this output, so there is a filter. The biggest filter of them all, funding.
Furthermore, LLM's have given us another gift semantic search, we can easily check your work against theirs, this is valuable insight so instead of researchers wasting decades and fortunes pursuing an avenue that shows no value (this includes methods), they can purse new avenues they know what to avoid, in the same breath they know what to work towards.
[2 comments hidden]
With convoluted and inelegant proofs, AI may fail to uncover those systems and patterns. As a most concrete example, it may fail to recognize some problems as isomorphic to other problems. Brute force solutions are a depth-first search.
To improve human mathematical understanding, AI is probably best used as a “copilot” (lol) rather than a black box oracle, like these AI companies appear to be doing.
[hidden]
If you're after new methods. Then new methods is the goal, the answer to the question is not the goal then. The animated response indicates the answer wasn't just a byproduct.
There is still something to glean from the answer. You have a further constraint. Otherwise whatever "new method" proposed may as well be hallucination, potentially taking you in the wrong direction away from the answer.
This line of thought is not unique, stonemasons made obsolete by uniform brickword suddenly were "worried about the art and preserving traditions".
[4 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
I'm being serious.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
This is because have fundamentally different goals: being able to use results in calculation versus having a deeper understanding of the subject matter.
[13 comments hidden]
In what world is OpenAI not “genuinely contributing to mathematics”?
I’m getting whiplash from the speed at which people are suddenly accusing them, and AI in general, of not doing enough.
[hidden]
But you are right, this is not OpenAI's "fault". The problem is - as others have said recently - that many people in mathematics want recognition for solving open questions more than they want the answers to the open questions. Everything about the economics and social environment of Mathematics will have to change.
I think that this is exactly the same split we see in software: there are those who mainly enjoy the craft aspect of building software, and are uninterested in the product or business they are supporting. Others are primarily interested in the production of useful software or building a platform or company.
I've always been in both camps myself. When it became obvious that AI was going to destroy the craft aspect - at least two years before it actually could do so - I became very discouraged, even depressed. But once it was actually good at building software, I became very excited about all the stuff I could now build. Sadly, I think a lot of people in our field have never had something they really wanted to build.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
So effectively, stuff got proved, but people don't really understand how, so it's mostly fucking useless and done for OpenAI's marketing team, while also pissing off the maths world at large.
[2 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
That community won't exist as many people simply won't even enter the field because it's reprehensible and contemptible, not to mention boring, just to read machine-generated proofs and verify them.
Collaborating on, or at least working on unsolved problems is what motivates most people.
AI is like a cheat code in a video game. You get to the end faster but fewer people want to play if the cheat code is always on. You can't turn it off either because the very challenge is to do something unique.
[hidden]
For what?
If math is just about having a community of other mathematicians to hang out with, it still isn't a career. Nobody is paying money you need in order to to eat, just to hang out in a community.
Just like a software engineer, "Well AI can write all my projects now, but I have my local Rust Users Group to hang out with". Nobody is paying me to hang out and hand code Rust.
[3 comments hidden]
[7 comments hidden]
So you'd prefer if they kept their work secret? Or you don't want them working on these problems at all? Or they should be required to do the work the way you want them to?
I'm not clear what you see as a better option than dumping.
[6 comments hidden]
It’s causing unemployment but no real gains unless you have a lot of equity and can benefit from lower costs from fewer people working.
[4 comments hidden]
[hidden]
But yes, I agree, there needs to be a solution for the fact that we don't need to work anymore. And it needs to be more like The Jetsons than 1984.
We'll probably have to revolt to get the changes we need. I don't see Elon giving up his power without a fight.
[hidden]
I don't know that the labs expect this at all.
Is the purpose of math to move human knowledge forward or to appease the mathematicians who get their rocks off working on proofs?
[hidden]
I assume this will increase the job market for mathematicians though right ? Tens of thousands of dumped proofs will mean math majors will need to be hired for review.
[11 comments hidden]
The authors of the proof are invited to give many talks, and meet with other experts in the area. Workshops are set up to discuss the proof, as well as other recent developments.
problems are being solved autonomously by AI prompters who have no interest in the broader field itself once their initial target is "solved", and do not understand the AI output well enough to answer questions on the result
The value here seems to be the insights that the author of the proof gained, and the paths they took and maybe more importantly didn't take.
Inviting only the human prompter to a talk on the paper is like inviting only the department chair, manager of the actual author.The valuable part that Tao is feeling the absence of is the insight, and you can only get that from talking to the swarm of agents that developed the original proof with all of their context.
So to me it feels like we don't need Math 2.0, but Authorship 2.0. I want to "meet" the context that generated these proofs. I mean luckily these were not generated by faceless systems like a SAT solver, you can actually talk to it, but I'm not sure if we can step beyond our pride and grant the true authors of these proofs that recognition.
[3 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
The idea would be that you should not fiddle with the minds who try to independently evaluate your works, so that is not a feasible approach to truth seeking.
While in organic chemistry, this way, valid progress was made, you can always avoid a perpetuum mobile inventor and get conned.
[hidden]
This is pretty much what a person that proivded patronage to a matematician used to be. API prompters are people who provide patronage for AI mathematicians.
You don't talk with them about the discoveries. About discoveries you should talk with who actually made them. Namely the LLMs.
Another analogy might by that you shouldn't expect to have interesting discussion about the essence of art with art producer.
Just thank them for the inference they covered and interact with the results instead.
[4 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
"When the architect completes a fine building, he removes the scaffolding." - Carl Friedrich Gauss
[hidden]
[17 comments hidden]
Im not sure how that will work, but im convinced the current paradigm of just pushing agents into codebases for not much reason other than you can is going to make building software incredibly boring and push creative people away from the field and stagnate progress.
My prediction is software gets boring and building hardware projects will be the new frontier for creative engineers looking to push computing further. Which is probably a good thing.
[7 comments hidden]
Sort of. An elegant proof is useful beyond what it shows. It hints at new mathematics, and can prompt discovery in applied fields. I don’t think I’ve heard of elegant code leading to discovery on its own.
[hidden]
I’ve not heard of it either, but code is an abstraction of math, so I don’t see why this couldn’t theoretically happen.
Anecdotally, I’ve started spending time advancing my math skills beyond the early college level I stopped at and I’ve frequently found I already know concepts of more advanced math - I just didn’t know what they were called or how to apply them to an equation on paper, but I’ve been using them for years and intrinsically grasped the underlying academics.
[hidden]
Usually it's the opposite. "That's in prod? And it works? It shouldn't work and I thought it was doing something else. Why does it work?"
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
People wrote many books about software engineering, all from valuable experience from buildng expensive software systems. But in the age of AI, is there still anything learnable from generated code?
Personally I always ask AI to summarize its findings and lessons in a .md file. And I always learn something from it.
But could AI utilize some new patterns and paradigms I wasn't aware of? Very likely. Because we only learn from our personal grave mistakes, a summary from others gets neglected and forgotten
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
The S fell short in actual reality for the most part, as it was merely a hiring requirement. A hiring requirement that didn't even make sense, because the skillset of academic CS only marginally overlaps with the skillset one wants to hire for.
Material engineering at least for the most part has actual real-world applications where one can push humanity further. CS (as practiced, not necessarily the idea of real CS but the CS we got due to it being used as a hiring filter) for the most part is just self-referential spinning with mostly unclear results.
There is real impressive work being done in that field, of course, but I'd argue that the majority of it over the last decade or so at least was just performative nonsense.
Maybe by again allocating new resources to other fields, what hides under the label CS can become more pure actual CS again. I think that would also be a much less miserable experience for everyone involved.
[3 comments hidden]
[hidden]
I believe in the future, we're going to see a similar shift in "programmer" - instead of a human programming the computer, you'll give the ai an idea and it will spit out a program.
And just like how automating the act of computation revolutionized what we could compute, automating the act of writing code will change the act of programming - hopefully, as you described, allowing us to do things that simply were not practical in the past.
[6 comments hidden]
This really expresses the heartburn you see across all fields, not exclusive to careerism. I certainly have friends in decomp and fan translation spaces that have been demotivated by the current rash of efforts happening there.
The rush to be "first" has always been over-celebrated, but it would be nice to believe there's a way to get beyond that thinking.
[hidden]
[4 comments hidden]
This I don't understand, seems like an obvious thing to automate, especially for byte-matching?
[2 comments hidden]
I don't think it's motivating to solve a black box by having AI generate another black box if what you want is to understand how the thing worked.
[hidden]
No? Decomp sources are often full of comments that claim that there's no clear reason as to why something is done a certain way or straight up full of question marks. Byte matching often is a result of bruteforcing a solution rather than understanding the original idea behind the code.
[7 comments hidden]
[hidden]
>I think of mathematics as having a large component of psychology, because of its strong dependence on human minds. Dehumanized mathematics would be more like computer code, which is very different. Mathematical ideas, even simple ideas, are often hard to transplant from mind to mind....Translation in the direction conceptual -> concrete and symbolic is much easier than translation in the reverse direction, and symbolic forms often replaces the conceptual forms of understanding....
https://mathoverflow.net/questions/43690/whats-a-mathematici...
[5 comments hidden]
Also, this reads like you didn’t like math classes. That sucks, but it’s no basis for societal organization
[3 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
What do you mean by this? Once a person has understood something, it may no longer be difficult for them, but it can certainly still be difficult for those who have not understood it yet. And we humans know of no way of transmitting understanding to another person without having that person exert some effort.
I don't know where you get the impression that mathematicians at large are withholding understanding. In fact, many mathematicians share their lecture notes freely online, share their articles freely on arxiv etc.
If your complaint is that these texts are written in the language of the field and thereby not accessible for laymen: This is the case for any advanced knowledge, because it builds on more basic knowledge that a person must first acquire. That is not withholding knowledge.
[hidden]
These formal educations we receive are half baked. We cannot use them without other specialists, specialists we specialists ourselves probably cannot afford. We cannot discuss what we do with anyone but other specialists of our same color and stripe, the same star shape on our bellies. We're not being taught how to communicate, not really, not in general, not in a manner that enables us to function without some corporate apparatus extracting the maximum while always offering statistically less than the market average.
What I meant by knowledge not remaining difficult once understood is that there is a collective consciousness hurdle that we as a society can move on. Once how to express difficult ideas and controversial question and answer exchanges become better understood in general, and once how to handle situations that currently cannot even be discussed due to the emotions they stir become less emotional storms and become logical frameworks people can discuss in abstract, then we become a more functional society than we are now.
[hidden]
1. if this is true, it is interesting, and
2. the exposition of this is a huge pile of slop.
This requires mathematicians to have to clean up the slop for it to be useful. It has happened for most LLM-generated proofs in the last few months. Anthropic explicitly payed two top complexity theorists to do it for the 3SUM and APSP breakthrough.
They didn't do this because those complexity theorists are advocating for a tyranny of the illiterate lmao
[20 comments hidden]
[4 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
1) Intellectually challenging, to such a degree that those wishing to enter the field need to have a certain level of intellectual prowess to do so. This creates some levels of mystique, with a sprinkle of elitism and gatekeeping.
2) Driven (among other things) by prestige. And the more pure the math is, the more prestigious it is.
3) So complex that people can spend their entire working careers chasing a handful of problems. The amount of time researchers spend on very specific problems is mind-boggling, if we think about the results.
4) Intensely captivating for the people deep in the weeds.
And the deeper you get, the longer you study, the more you start to value things like "mathematical beauty", and may start to view math as a form of art.
Like many similar fields, you end up with this ivory tower where people can dedicate their whole lives to thinking deeply about extremely niche and theoretical problems.
[hidden]
Quite a lot of people are not happy they aren't elite anymore, and many have spent years to decades to arrive here.
Simply put you invest years of your life to establish a kind of distinction over others, and that goes away. That hurts.
But its not something surprising. Most of these competitive programming problems were actually English languages puzzles, because you couldn't dial up the mathematical difficulty anymore making it a fields medal problem. And in most cases in simple language weren't even that hard to begin with, and you could look up solutions to these problems in an hour of Google searching.
[hidden]
Since the Greeks we've had the idea that "Being and thinking are one," or that Being (in the sense of all of existence as such) has some essential unity with thought, and therefore can be thought, and expressed or submitted to the logos or reason. Being is in some sense fundamentally intelligible, and mathematics is the most developed, exacting, and articulate expression of Being.
Logic was understood in this older sense up to roughly the the mid to late 19th century. This is why a work like Hegel's Science of Logic begins not with syllogisms or propositions but with Being and Nothing. But this was forgotten after logic was mathematized by the English around the time of Russell, and its connection to ontology was gradually overshadowed by a focus on epistemology (still, it should be remembered, originally as a means of getting back to ontology).
There may be truth in art, but it's always haunted by its own historicity or contingency, which is to say untruth. Mathematics seems on the contrary the only really timeless, absolute thing we have. Part of what makes it captivating is stumbling on a construction or concept or proposition or theorem that simply must be, independent of us.
The AIs are certainly now more than automatic theorem provers, mechanically traversing some space of true propositions. They are able to push things forward and connect seemingly disparate domains to get to a proof, but to my mind it remains to be seen how well they will be able to form new concepts and definitions.
Imagine the controversy surrounding Cantor, for example, but put an AI in the place of Cantor. If an AI proposed something like the (infinite) hierarchy of infinity, would we have accepted it? What would the intuitionism debates have looked like? Would they even have taken place? And aside from that, has it actually been shown conclusively that an AI could propose such a thing?
There are lots of attempts right now to recover a humanism for mathematics, or restore man's pride of place with respect to it, but maybe we don't need to worry about that. Tao's attempts to preserve the mathematical community, while allowing for practices to change through the crisis may look like a kind of rearguard action, but seems reasonable to me and not really dependent on any kind of humanism. It's a way to avoid the question for now while things play out (and not conservative/reactionary like Scholze and others), which may be exactly what we need, because after all, perhaps we still don't understand why we do mathematics, what it's really for, and what our relation is to it. Whether it's enough to preserve funding is another issue.
[4 comments hidden]
Academics and white collars now get to experience what blue collar workers experienced in the past.
Same as what developers in USA experienced who were and are getting replaced by Indians.
[3 comments hidden]
But if you're consdiering a community, this falls apart. The maths community has universities, has professors who are paid, has students which are getting their degrees for varying reasons, it has conferences, has publications, papers, projects etc etc, all of which will get some negative impact some AI.
You know that line "when a measurement becomes a target it ceases to be a useful measurement". This line holds up to different degrees for various measurements and targets. For maths it holds up very well. The goal is "contribute to make the world better by increasing humanity's understanding of maths" and the measurement, which by evaluating an individual on it we're turning into a target, is "how much does the individual publish new findings". Measurement turned target holds up great. It's almost impossible to publish new findings and not contribute to humanity's understanding of maths. But with AI these two are being decoupled. You can produce lots of new findings, but the community is saturated and they don't get assimilated into humanity's understanding. Why do individuals use AI then? Because you've made the target "how much does the individual publish new findings" and they have to compete or lose.
[2 comments hidden]
Its different when your own job is on the line.
When human manual arts were being automated away it was supposed to be not only acceptable but any complain and you were told you were a progress blocking luddite.
Now that mental labor is getting automated, the response to automation is very different.
[hidden]
For example, a software engineer is like a car mechanic or a coal miner. None of those are anything like a mathematician.
The person you're rallying against isn't me, it's an imaginary hypocritical person which exists in your mind. I do mental labour, I welcome AI developments hard, and I still think TT is 100% correct.
[3 comments hidden]
[hidden]
I feel like we’re circling back to that 2010s energy of “everyone can be an entrepreneur.” Now it’s “everyone can build software”
[hidden]
[hidden]
0: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Unreasonable_Effectiveness...
[2 comments hidden]
AI, however powerful, is a tool, only as important as the amount it helps mathematicians. Creating mathematics without human understanding is as sound as mass producing copies of Michelangelo David.
“Mathematics, rightly viewed, possesses not only truth, but supreme beauty — a beauty cold and austere, like that of sculpture [...] yet sublimely pure, and capable of a stern perfection such as only the greatest art can show.” - Bertrand Russell, "From The Study of Mathematics" (1902)
“A mathematician, like a painter or a poet, is a maker of patterns. [...] The mathematician's patterns, like the painter's or the poet's, must be beautiful; the ideas, like the colours or the words, must fit together in a harmonious way. Beauty is the first test: there is no permanent place in the world for ugly mathematics.” - G. H. Hardy, "A Mathematician's Apology" (1940)
[6 comments hidden]
[5 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
Most people would be happier with La Marzocco coffe machines which costs thousands of dollars, but if you get an OK shot with a 100 USD DeLongi, then the choice is clear for majority of the population.
[hidden]
[hidden]
Like given the choice, the vast majority of people would prefer one quality game like Minecraft, LoL, or Fortnite, vs. thousands of one-shot generated games, and looking at user playtime this is exactly what we see. If anything AI is just going to entrench these pre-AI franchises even more.
[4 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[16 comments hidden]
[14 comments hidden]
Yes, what a terrible thing to advance the field significantly and release the results publicly for everyone. Truly despicable.
[4 comments hidden]
[9 comments hidden]
[8 comments hidden]
And nothing stops mathematicians from solving it in a way that does advance the field. Claude's existence doesn't change that.
[7 comments hidden]
[5 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
The funding can have been for advancing the understanding, by using a more measurable proxy and reasonable target that closely aligned with advancing understanding.
Perhaps another phrasing might be "we are paying people to go through the process of solving these problems" rather than "we are paying people for solutions". I might set a random task for my kids while on a hike to find X things, not because I want to find ten different leaves but the process of doing it means exploring and investigating in a certain kind of way a certain kind of area. If some sets up a leaf selling stand, they have advanced the field of "finding leaves" and kids can now very very easily get ten different leaves.
Now leaves here are frivolous and not useful. That example works better looking at, say, homework - clearly I don't care about having a list of words spelled correctly and I don't need the answer to 5x7, nor do we need more book reports on The Great Gatsby. We're doing them to teach, it's very explicitly about the result.
Research level maths however is a bit of both. The answers to some of these things are genuinely useful. Having the answer may be better than not having it. But having a lot of people working on solving it has other useful and beneficial outcomes.
We have structured large scale systems of huge numbers of people and institutes around how this works, and what top mathematicians are telling us is that open problems (particularly at new researcher level) are a key part of this process and are hard to find. Academia changes incredibly fucking slowly, just glacially slowly. Some aspects (most?) are barely changed across hundreds of years. And across an incredibly short space of time (less time than one paper can take to go from fully finished to actually published) we have gone from "this machine can solve school level work" to "this machine is solving major research level maths problems". The existing system will not work, the machines will not get dumber or slower, and some of the impacts are things you cannot undo.
[hidden]
Now that you can solve without understanding this setup is broken. Either the sources of funding will finally have to learn the difference and the value of the latter, or mathematics research ends.
[4 comments hidden]
If I understand Tao correctly, he's saying that's going to have to be the focus going forward. I just default to thinking the models are going to be much better than us at that, too.
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
I wonder if this is true. The code produced by these models are not really getting any more elegant over time. On contrary, the models seem to be getting worse, often proposing really baroque architectures. You can use RL to optimize for correctness, optimizing the vibe seems much more difficult.
[6 comments hidden]
[4 comments hidden]
>On a more everyday level, it is common for people first starting to grapple with computers to make large-scale computations of things they might have done on a smaller scale by hand. They might print out a table of the first 10,000 primes, only to find that their printout isn’t something they really wanted after all. They discover by this kind of experience that what they really want is usually not some collection of “answers”—what they want is understanding.
The difference in reactions by the maths community should probably be spit up into those who have read and understood On Proof and Progress and actually thought deeply about why they do mathematics, and those who haven't.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
Tao only changed the heading of his blog to that quote in the last month, which is part of my point. Somehow despite this framework for viewing the field of mathematics having been beautifully described by one of our greatest leaders over 30 years ago, Terence Tao who has spent the last 5 years thinking about this has only just come around to it. Perhaps it has something psychologically to do with his greatest skills being those most under attack (though of course I'm not actually implying anything about Tao, he is obviously an honest and good-natured contributor to the community).
The people who need to read On Proof and Progress are the undergraduates and PhD students who have ended up down an academic pathway without looking up because they've always been good at proof and understanding mathematics, without ever pausing to ask why.
[hidden]
I think David Bessis (in an essay from April) has the best thoughts on this since Thurston:
https://davidbessis.substack.com/p/the-fall-of-the-theorem-e...
Also discussed here: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=48758048
[5 comments hidden]
3-5 years is the period of a grant, and grants have to make research progress, or you don’t get the next grant.
[4 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
Everyone should have a portfolio of prompts that are indecipherable by other humans but when fed to a frontier model, produces shocking one paragraph english version of a 10000 line lean proof
Obfuscated prompt grant contest
[hidden]
I love smart people like this; even when there's a threat, instead of just being in denial or boycotting out of anger, they figure out a new path for their community
[hidden]
[hidden]
„In many of his more witty essays, Dijkstra described a fictional company of which he served as chairman. The company was called Mathematics, Inc., a company that he imagined having commercialized the production of mathematical theorems in the same way that software companies had commercialized the production of computer programs. He invented a number of activities and challenges of Mathematics Inc. and documented them in several papers in the EWD series. The imaginary company had produced a proof of the Riemann Hypothesis but then had great difficulties collecting royalties from mathematicians who had proved results assuming the Riemann Hypothesis. The proof itself was a trade secret. Many of the company's proofs were rushed out the door and then much of the company's effort had to be spent on maintenance. A more successful effort was the Standard Proof for Pythagoras' Theorem, that replaced the more than 100 incompatible existing proofs. Dijkstra described Mathematics Inc. as "the most exciting and most miserable business ever conceived".
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Edsger_W._Dijkstra#Recurring_t...
The marketing effect will soon show diminishing returns and math will be again advanced by mathematicians (with or without AI tools) and not by companies. Because the ladder is the real problem.
[6 comments hidden]
It’s more likely that instead of spending a 100K/year direct grant on two PhD students, PIs will hire 1 and have the student spend 50K on AI.
[3 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
Sounds like Terence Tao would have said the same about Ramanujan who basically just "solved" problems without much explanation / reasoning / communication other than it just arrived from god.
In the case of Ramanujan, others took on the responsibility of socializing and community building knowing that he wouldn't do it himself. Why can't the same approach happen here?
There will be people who want to just "solve" math problems now that they have a new tool that lets them express themselves this way. Maybe the don't want to participate in the broader math community, etc. Why discourage them, or add friction / a barrier to them participating in their own way? Why not take on the burden of socializing, making sense of, and community building yourself?
There may be valid reasons here I'm missing, but to me this seems a bit like wanting others to approach a field in a particular way even though the field can support many ways.
[2 comments hidden]
In my childhood, we used to do a tribal dance with fast moving sticks in both hands, and boys weaving in out of circles rapidly - all in a fluid motion. Any wrong movement or lack of right movement would mean serious injuries to some kids. Kids don't that now. That's one of the lost art forms.
Mathematicians shouldn't take it too hard and try to imagine things like Math 2.0. Trust me, there is no such thing. When you have to leave it to machines, you have to, and move on. It's same as people using a calculator for multiplications instead of calculating it by hand. There is no Multiplication-by-Hand 2.0. Why is it so hard to see it?
[hidden]
[9 comments hidden]
[8 comments hidden]
1. Some present a unified line that the whole point of their craft is the human experience, and that automation is the antithesis of that. Marathon runners don't care that a car can get there faster, poets don't care that Poem Bot 2000 can write poems too. I think this is smart if you can credibly take this position. The difficulty is mostly convincing the buy side, which requires being very outspoken about your views.
2. Some appear to be undecided, with one faction taking the pro-human stance and another rushing to accelerate things with AI. A good example of this is mathematics, and I really wonder where they end up in the long haul. They have a very good claim on #1, because mathematics is pretty close to an art form and is robustly insulated from the pressures of the marketplace. But they can also choose option #3, below.
3. Some crafts prioritize results above all else, practitioners either rushing to extract as much money as possible before it all collapses, or believing that they can out-prompt everyone else forever and that their prompting skills are indispensable to their employers in the long haul. That's software engineering. I think this is going to be interesting to watch.
[2 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
I'd end up with the buckets
a) Fully human
b) Hybrid human-AI
c) Fully AI
[hidden]
[hidden]
You say marathons are just for fun, but prior to the wheel it was the only way to get around. (Other than horses in some places)
So it’s not that running is immune to automation, it’s that we’re already post-automation and that only people doing it for fun are left.
[2 comments hidden]
There's a reason there are maybe a few hundred professional marathon runners in the world vs tens of thousands of professional mathematicians. Bucket 1 is basically an "amusement for the upper classes" type of deal. Any field that goes in that direction would have to shrink down massively.
It also devalues the field in my opinion from something really profound with actual impact in the world to a somewhat vain leisure activity. (basically going back to gentleman scientists) But I know other people would see it exactly the opposite way.
[hidden]
I don't buy this. I think there are other reasons why "professional marathon running" is a niche thing; it's probably just that it's not all that interesting to most people to practice in function of what it demands of your body, and not that interesting to patronize / watch.
Take woodworkers. There's probably more professional woodworkers than professional mathematicians. In terms of utility, everything a woodworker does, a machine can do more cheaply and more quickly. The main reason the craft survives is just that we attach intrinsic value to furniture made by humans the old-fashioned way. This is shared by craftsmen and those who buy.
And you could argue the same thing you did for marathon runners: custom furniture is just amusement for well-off people. Sure, but there's enough people with money to keep it afloat.
[hidden]
Einstein did not typically use the formal peer review system to "settle on published work." Almost all of his major papers (including his landmark 1905 Annus Mirabilis papers) were published directly by journal editors without formal peer review.
When Physical Review sent his 1936 draft to a referee, Einstein was so outraged that he withdrew the paper and vowed never to publish with the journal again. He corrected his math only after an informal, friendly discussion with colleague Howard Percy Robertson—who, unbeknownst to Einstein, was the anonymous reviewer.
[6 comments hidden]
There will be no gap in understanding. Now there is because the models are discovering things at the edge of what they can do and so suck at explaining it. There's nothing particularly special about a newly solved problem in terms of learning it.
If we accept AI can explain all of existing math nicely, why shouldn't it be able to explain new proofs?
[2 comments hidden]
So much in AI is dependent on which of these two outcomes occur.
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
Have we tried a good ol Ralph Wiggum:
> simplify/shrink this proof
and see what we get?
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
On the Leiden declaration: https://sites.math.rutgers.edu/~zeilberg/Opinion196.html
On proof: https://sites.math.rutgers.edu/~zeilberg/Opinion174.html
[hidden]
Zeilberger is not religious (if I recall correctly), but this opposition to "Greek" mathematics does look as somehow related to the above attitude. I am not speaking about the substance here, but about the way it is expressed.
[hidden]
Disclaimer: I'm kinda familiar with the ideas of automatically provable software systems but haven't done anything with them myself. If I'm missing an obvious fact(s) here please let me know :)
I get that the proof is big and complicated, but "We messed up a +/- sign" kinda sounds like announcing that the next version of the Linux kernel is done ("Version 7.0.0 is awesome!") followed by realizing that it doesn't compile ("Turns out someone used 1 equals where they should have used 2. Stay tuned for V 7.0.01!").
I've got to be missing something here :)
[2 comments hidden]
In the beginning, calculus as invented by Newton used complex ruler and compass constructions. Newton had a high cognitive capacity, so it was understandable to Newton. It took mathematicians coming later, including Leibniz, to turn this technique into a body of work that fits more easily into the average human mind. Newton and Leibniz independently developed calculus, but Leibniz's notation and formalism in particular provided a much more compact way of expressing and manipulating the ideas of calculus.
Open up Spivak at any page and find a formula; you should probably find that it contains 7±2 'things'. Like an integral, say: the integral sign, lower and upper limits, the function inside, the variable of integration. Then the theory and the rules for transforming these expressions was created so that working with calculus becomes mostly a set of rote operations.
Now a 1st-year student can do more calculus in a week than Newton even could have done in a year.
Now imagine aliens land on the Earth which have 10x our cognitive capacity, and we ask them about their mathematics. It would probably be incomprehensible to us because it would not have gone through a cognitive bottleneck sufficiently small to force it to fit into our minds. They might be totally happy with a mathematical expression containing 700 'things.'
We now find ourselves in this situation, except the alien is an AI we created.
I believe a cognitive bottleneck needs to be maintained so that maths can still remain human maths.
EDIT: Basically, mathematical elegance is finding a representation which allows irrelevant detail to dissapear.
[hidden]
So, now he can join the club. The AI gave him the proof, what more does he want?
[hidden]
Math? Everyone is talking about math, with math-centric discussions and solutions. I think the obsession with math is simply to distract ourselves from the fact that it's coming for every occupation.
None of these essays even remotely consider it. Denial is a helluva drug.
[hidden]
It is important that we stay focused - this is theatre. Incredibly impressive, but this doesn't yet show evidence of helping society, which is the whole reason we were doing this in the first place.
[2 comments hidden]
My hope is that applied math departments and pure math departments get closer, and that we start having a ton more people finding applications outside of pure math for pure math results.
[hidden]
Sure, sometimes they accidentally also developed something slightly useful (e.g. Haskell uses some concepts from category theory), but in terms of usefulness the questions are: 1. How useful were this applications it relative to the effort that went into pure math research, in terms of return of investment? 2. Could the useful math also have been purposefully invented by applied mathematicians when an actual need for it arose?
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
This is similar to general solvability of the quintic equations - Abel provided a proof first but only with the advent of Gallois theory we could basically understand it in full and decide for any quinitic if it's solvable by radicals or no.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
That is, if things go in the current trajectory. I don't see any reason why anything would change though.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[9 comments hidden]
The industrial revolution did that to battles and wars and it inspired Tolkein's lores to a considerable degree. He loathed what mechanisation had done.
I feel something similar is happening to Mathematics. I shudder to think what would come of other human pursuit this mechanisation targets next.
[2 comments hidden]
(and I don't even think that is exaggerated very much)
[hidden]
I didn't follow through to the PhD, but I spent few years building up to understanding of Fluid Dynamics and Functional Analysis to come close to NS. It's intriguing that it's "solved", but what interests me is then "what do we learn from it" and what lies beyond in non-linearity.
In the 10 years I've spent away from academia, I still cherish what Math taught me best: looking at equivalences and I still feel the kick that I surely wouldn't want an Agent to do on my behalf. NS was never the point. And who can't see that I can only feel that they missed out.
[hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
I loathe what's happened with agscience, all farms should be plowed by hand with donkeys and plows.
[2 comments hidden]
It's fascinating how people like to push any statement to its limits, because it circles around to absurdity and they believe they've made a point. Moderation seems to be chasing you, but you clearly are faster!
[hidden]
If your mental model breaks at the limits, it maybe means there's some truth in what you say, but there's a nuance that's clearly missing.
And that's the case here: nobody argues when automation comes for many types of other tasks, so why is mathematics special? Or even art? We should either find that line or accept that maybe they aren't as special as we assumed.
[hidden]
Do we want these capabilities to be useful? It seems making them accessible so that the existing community can use it as a tool is the right approach. Automated proof methods are already used like that.
[hidden]
Which is a simple measurable goal requiring little bureaucracy. The mythical "all you need is a pen and paper and a lifetime of dedication"
> "Math 2.0" will need to ... value mathematical progress more holistically
which is directionally the opposite
> community building ... AI can contribute positively
what is this belief based on? Any other communities can illustrate?
[hidden]
[hidden]
I think most academic disciplines would benefit from such a re-evaluation. AI is still a scourge on the earth, but I suppose if it spurs such changes that's a modicum of a silver lining.
[6 comments hidden]
What would a more “responsible” approach have been?
[5 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
And I do not buy that it is “unfair” either. That argument proves far too much - it would equally apply to peer review, editing, revising, publication, and indeed any non-essential activity by the author from the moment of their epiphany onward.
Note also that my suggestion is something I came up with on the spot in a handful of seconds for a field I am entirely unfamiliar with. It should be trivial in the extreme for a well-compensated and motivated professional familiar with the field to take a few weeks and vastly improve on it.
[hidden]
[hidden]
MVP 1.0 is always produced quickly to solve a particular business problem or conform to a spec, even if the solution has terrible code.
2.0 is when programmers refactor the code and internal APIs to make things nice and easily explainable.
[hidden]
[hidden]
They are right at the end of the day, but it still smells of hypocrisy to some degree.
[hidden]
[hidden]
AHM Statement on OpenAI's October 6 Release of Mathematical Documents
https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=50000421 / https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49999159
[hidden]
Which should improve collaboration, Research and Clarity.
I would really appreciate if we come up with protocols for using ai in STEM field's it might be award at first but we could regulate properly using this method.
[2 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
Frontier Mathematicians will work on proving theorems, and Pure Mathematicians will work on taking proven results and making them understood.
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
On the other hand, it puts a premium on resources. AI is not cheap for mathematicians. Folks are fancy universities in rich countries with forward thinking ministries of science will have an advantage over the rest.
What is clearly in immediate crisis is the traditional model of doctoral education. Most of the problems that were "given" to ordinary doctoral students are solvable (quickly) even by something like Claude pro. Mathematicians need to adopt training models more like what is done in experimental and laboratory sciences - collaborative and structured.
Where Tao is wrong is in regards to exposition. AI already writes better lecture notes, problems, and exercises for mid level undergrad math classes than do most of my colleagues. It's exposition is generally well structured and clear and it can adjust level on request quite well. It writes research better than most professional mathematicians too.
[hidden]
[hidden]
[10 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
Everything else is secondary (or the last of our priorities) and would be better automated?
This is a hard pill to swallow
[6 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
Thats one of the timeless human debates.
We are now living in the perfect combo of low morality and general human automation. So i expect the next few decades dominated by people who think (and have a "proof") that doing something without an expected economic gain is useless.
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
AI only take us as far as our imagination thinks to ask it. This can be exhilarating when new models drop every month and we can continually reach a new threshold, basically for free. But it is only a one time gain and ultimately short-sighted. Where I find continuous value is using LLMs to help my understanding, full stop.
I use LLMs all day long as a SWE and I have tried many approaches, but the most satisfying and consistent approach is to lean heavily into understanding a problem space and a solution space. Yes, it whips up architecture and code, but I spend most of my time peppering it with questions about the design and how it handles certain situations, what about this edge case and that security concern and this future product need. I have it write a report breaking down the feature and how it integrates with existing code and if the report is too confusing I have it simplify either the report or the code until it makes sense to me, sometimes scaling back the work to a more manageable state. I do all of this before I look at any of the code it writes.
The difference from this approach is that I am not suffering reading through 3000 lines of AI slop but I am reviewing a PR that I fully understand. I can eyeball it quickly for anything that doesn't fit my mental model and dig deeper or quickly revise it. Only after I am happy with the bones do I consider the meat and skin of the code.
What I find most concerning is how frontier AI companies all seem to have this Math 1.0 perspective that they only want to type "solve Riemann" into the chat box and have the magic to happen. It is the same problem Google ran into, where a simple, no thinking solution serves most of the people best and most profitably, so you fully ignore or remove everything else (boolean operators, exact phrase search, verticals, filters, infinite pages of results, "nothing found" if there isn't, etc.) But that choice leads to the situation Google is in now, scrambling to stay relevant. In a different world, Google would have continuously augmented their search capabilities and eventually built a smooth, guidable AI interface.
But no, we must only have an input box and a Go button.
Everything looks like a nail when you build hammers, sell hammers, have infinite hammers to play with however you like and your company mission is to build a hammer starship to explore the hammerverse, whether or not that is even possible.
[hidden]
And when the job is done, I run retrospectives on old coding-agent sessions to find areas of friction and confusion. I also journal with pen and paper, as it's supposed to bring cognitive benefits, to help me stay on top of things.
[7 comments hidden]
The job of professional mathematician might be the first to be completely eliminated by LLMs, save for those who can make money from a patron. I am hoping they are able to figure something out to save their profession, as other professions could use it as a blueprint as AI comes for them next.
[6 comments hidden]
Strong disagree.
Do you work in a math adjacent field? I do and I find having a mathematician around invaluable.
It's like a non-software person writing software. Yes, using a LLM will get you to a solution that works. But just talking with a software engineer will make the quality of that solution enormously better.
I find the same with math - I can get something to work using an LLM, but if I speak to a mathematician they'll say some magic words to try and I put that in the LLM and it is "oh yes this is a much better solution".
This is very different work to generating proofs though. Its things like "I'm trying to get my confidence intervals to properly deal with census like sampling but at small sample sizes" (yes, I know stats not pure math but still..)
[4 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
You may say "hey, before AI people payed for math salaries even though they didnt understand the math or the economic outcome". But the issue is there are now "mathematitians" trying to convince not to fund.
In this new reality, you will get "mathematitians" trying to convince that only AI maths matter. And on the other side someone speaking about "understanding", "taste", "community". And the people deciding to fund dont have the skills to differentiate. So they will fund the AI boosters with a higher probability.
Thats how the job of professional mathematitian dissapears. By being replaced by something that on the surface looks similar, but its just an ugly copy.
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
In contrast, the post is political, polarising “true” vs. “AI prompters who have no interest”, luddite even.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
It is interesting that AI is not yet superhuman at exposition, or at least exposition that can be understood by humans. But you haven't updated enough if you don't think that will happen soon. I'd also expect for AI to become superhuman at opening up new directions of study and theory building.
> Many fewer seminars, workshops, collaborations, or other activities are being generated from these results compared to traditional breakthroughs...the mere knowledge that a solution exists "contaminates" efforts by both humans and AI to find alternate routes to the problem that reveal additional insight
This is absurd. The mere knowledge contaminates...give me a break Tao! Of course having a (possible) solution changes how we're thinking about the problem. If that's what you mean by contaminate, fine. But if you're a person who's excited, curious, interested in mathematical knowledge for its own sake these AI results are a treasure trove. New approaches to old problems, some old approaches that we couldn't make work before. Why not whole seminars to take one of these results and dissect them, prompting the AIs to figure out where else we can use them, improving and simplifying, etc.
Look, I get Tao's anxiety. The ground is shifting and it's hard to solve for the equilibrium. How in the world do you write a grant proposal today when the person who will read it reads the headlines and thinks "math" is solved. That's something that the mathematical community will need to figure out over time. And it's possible that there'll less money for math research overall. When the marginal cost goes down, the market equilibrium changes (but don't forget Jevons paradox!). So I get the anxiety. I just expected better from some of the top people of the field.
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[8 comments hidden]
[hidden]
Edit: If you'd like a better medicine based one, look to radiology, where AI is an omnipresent tool but claims that radiologists are no longer needed, based on an ignorant view that a radiologist's job is "classify images according to what diseases they indicate" have only contributed to a crippling worldwide shortage of radiologists.
[5 comments hidden]
Up until now the prize in pure (as opposed to applied) mathematics was the _understanding_ and the machine can't do that for you. What does it mean if we get "super powered alien maths" but humans can't do it? It's like inter univeral teichmuller theory but imagine if Mochizuki was right and it came with a lean proof?
[4 comments hidden]
In my view, over the last century, math has turned into an intellectual analogue of extreme bodybuilding competitions. A navel gazing runaway optimization in making useless stuff just to demonstrate cleverness. That's fine, why not. But society has no obligation to fund that, just as it doesn't fund other extreme hobbies. Ideally if we ever get something like UBI, math can be still their hobby.
[hidden]
Without human understanding you also might literally have no words for the thing you would otherwise want to ask for.
I think it'll be wildy useful but I also suspect human competence will still matter.
[hidden]
If this is the hope then there isn’t much hope.
[hidden]
[9 comments hidden]
but can someone please try to set aside their knee-jerk reactions for a while to give a good reason:
WHY do humans NEED to understand the basics of something?
× You don't know how to farm — That doesn't prevent you from having food or cooking good meals.× You don't know how to mine raw materials — That doesn't prevent you from using computers/phones made with aluminum, copper, glass etc.
× You don't know how to fell trees and shape lumber — That doesn't prevent you from sitting in that comfy chair.
× You don't know assembly language or how to write operating systems — That doesn't prevent you from using Windows or macOS or Linux.
—
EVERYDAY you use hundreds of things made from THOUSANDS of technologies you don't understand, because other people already MASTERED them.
so YOU can go on to go do GREATER things.
(but you CAN still go do farming, mining, logging, writing your own OS, if you ENJOY it — nothing's stopping you — you just won't be as good as the technology that has been specialized for that over centuries, and almost certainly you won't be bringing anything new to those fields, and it'll take time away from doing other things.)
—
Maybe we shouldn't be wasting time on "oshit how do we uninvent or slow down this new technology because it makes things easier than what we grew up on"
and focus more on "what other greater things can we move on to?"
There's a whole freakin universe out there and we haven't even stepped off our home planet yet.
[5 comments hidden]
At least, that's how I view most discussions on AI adoption. Technological advancements are great for humanity, but that doesn't mean it comes without costs. The luddites are a famous example that's very often mentioned in this forum.
And no, "reskilling" isn't an option for many people. If you are poor, if you have a family or have people dependent on you, you cannot put your life on pause to learn something new, especially if you have no guarantees it won't end up like last time.
[4 comments hidden]
Yes, but that's a social issue, external to technology but exacerbated by every new technology, AI or not:
UBI should be a thing: let people work on what they find fulfilling, instead of having to work to survive.
AI could help design a system for UBI that everyone agrees with, since it's so good at maths and shit now.
This problem HAS to be tackled. Removing/slowing AI will only kick it further down the road, not eliminate it.
[3 comments hidden]
It seems to me that all we are doing is a wild goose chase; Progress above all, to hell with any environmental/social impacts, the end justifies the means.
> This problem HAS to be tackled. Removing/slowing AI will only kick it further down the road, not eliminate it.
True, but people are generally selfish. They will put their own prosperity above that of the future generations, and I cannot blame them.
[2 comments hidden]
The actual fear underpinning this isn't even about being "poor", it's that being poor means starving, freezing, not having a bed to sleep on, not being able to get basic healthcare in emergencies..
It's possible to provide all those things without "giving away free money" to everybody, but..that's probably more complicated for now.
In any case, whether one "deserves" to live in basic comfort shouldn't depend on one's ability to do jobs that depend on holding back technological progress.
[hidden]
It shouldn't, but it does. So if we can't change this fact, we have to find a middle ground so that the people alive right now aren't thrown under the bus.
I don't disagree with what you are saying. Progress is inevitable in the end. I just wonder if we have to be destructive in our road to achieve it. Environmental and social damage are also problems that we need to tackle. Keep in mind that unstable societies, where people are fearful of the future, are prone to revolutions, and an unstable political climate is detrimental to technological progress.
I see very few people at the top speaking up about this, and that only makes me more skeptical of the usefulness of AI. If it's only going to be used against me, why would I ever support it?
[2 comments hidden]
The second thing is to just ask what is there left to do. What are these "greater things" that people can dedicate time to, when clearly even classically cerebral activities like mathematics can be automated away. The industrial revolution already wrecked physical production of goods and made artisan workers obsolete outside of extremely niche scenarios -- that's why we call things artisanal, after all -- but there was still mental work. But now, mental work is also experiencing the same thing, and it's not clear what one should do as a human anymore.
And some people seem outright gleeful about these developments, which can be seen even in this thread. What happens when humanity becomes obsolete? And what happens when the machines that cause this obsolescence are controlled by a tiny amount of people, who suddenly don't need the rest of us? I can only hope that this turns out well for us and that with the development of these machines, humanity will get better, but the omnipresent existential dread is giving me doubts.
[hidden]
Their applications?
For example I'm not a mathematician but I love thinking about weird "useless" shit like how math might be like for aliens? Are numbers as fundamental as we assume? i.e. humans developed math for "arithmetic" first, then latched geometry etc on top of that. We took ages to admit zero and negative numbers.. what if an alien species develops math for "navigation" first, and starts out with complex numbers right away!?
> What happens when humanity becomes obsolete?
There's an infinity out there to explore.
> And what happens when the machines that cause this obsolescence are controlled by a tiny amount of people, who suddenly don't need the rest of us?
That's a social problem we needed to tackle more than 100 years before AI or even computers appeared.
Apparently the minutes hand was added to clock to keep time in factories, for the benefit of the factory owners, not the workers — something I learned from this 1991 show from the BBC with Terry Jones: "So This Is Progress" https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Em96NVxO9Q
[hidden]
This is what underpins the fear, I think.
You don't know how to farm but mentally you rest easy knowing a lot of other people do know. You also know there are books you could read to learn, if you needed to. Most things are like this, you could bootstrap your way to casting metals and probably even electric lights with only books and raw materials. Computer chips don't have this property.
Personally this is why I'd like to see libraries survive, even though I actually mostly read on my e-reader. I guess I took Anathem to heart.
[4 comments hidden]
There is a world where we get to the edge of AI capabilities, and we build on top of that. As humans have always done with every new technology.
There is another more pessimistic view where LLMs just replace every human capability, and our economic overlords dont need us for anything and we just eat the small pieces of bread that are left.
This comes down to the fact of:
is human existence/intelligence just the simbolic representations we make in our brain? Or are they just a tool?
I tend to think of Godels incompleteness theorem as a proof that on the limit LLMs are useless. The real question for me is at what point approaching this limit becomes an issue, and if it has any practical consequences.
[3 comments hidden]
We don't build on top of that. No need for us to. AI does. That's sort of the whole point of this endeavor is it not? Humans need not apply.
[2 comments hidden]
In my experience, every new model release allows me to go further, although every time i see every time the limitations, and i identify where i add value. And this value gets bigger every time.
But on the other hand, every model release reduces the amount of people that are able to value this "added value", because it requires more skills.
So we have the paradox that the added value i can bring on top gets bigger and bigger, but the perception of the economic value for the majority of the population gets smaller.
[hidden]
>As a result of all this activity, the proofs naturally become digested, streamlined, placed in context with other results in the field, and ultimately become part of the textbooks and lecture notes for the next generation of mathematicians in the field.
All of this requires resources, most of even human mathematics has been thrown away every generation, who decides what makes it into textbooks, the gatekeepers (or should we say goalkeepers). We hope the mathematical elites interest is alligned with the broader mathematical and scientific community but it is often NOT. Often it's aligned with their own interests. I only see what OpenAI is doing here as a good, their felonies, coverups, and fraudulent finances (other American companies are also guilty) are far worse and they deserve real legal pushback and sentencing for that. Not whatever this crap is.
[hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
Lastly, deep down I don't really get what mathematicians are so upset about. All open problems, once solved, are not solved by 99.9999% of mathematicians, because it's solved by one or a handful of others, and the others just learn of the solution/proof. Mathematicians can now still organize conferences about these proofs, discuss them, digest them, think of new avenues of research, etc. They don't even have to invite OpenAI, in 6 months whatever model is available on chatgpt.com will be this smart anyway, and they can use it in the workshops for explanations, etc.
[1] I was going to write "I'm a bit disappointed by the response of the math community..", but then I remembered, whatever T. Tao writes is not the position of the math community, it's his position. Then I was going to write "I'm a bit disappointed by the response of T. Tao..", but then I remembered, I don't know Tao personally, so why am I disappointed?
[2] Steve Ballmer of Microsoft, I believe
[hidden]
Many of these reactions are much too hasty, making long term claims for something that has only recently happened and is fast evolving.
On top of that, assuming that there are 350,000 math PhDs, that’s 0.0036% of the current population (1 out of 28,000). There have only been 68 Fields Medalists which is 1 out of 122 million people. So, most of us wouldn’t be solving these problems, but now we all can benefit from them.
The study of mathematics is certainly to change, just like it did with previous advancements in mathematics itself and technology.
[hidden]
Grigori Perelman warned about this when he refused the Millenium problem prize. He understood mathematics should be a journey, not a destination.
[hidden]
[hidden]
Arbitrary conclusion. This is the corporate take on "mathematics"
Mathematics were meant to further our understanding of nature and solve people's problem. Not to serve corporate delusional CEOs for their psychopathic purposes.
[hidden]
Mathematics is an academy, and academies are human assemblages for producing truth (and the tools therein); they will stop producing if we forget to repair and refine them. It's just undeniable in the abstract.
(Sorry for the length, cut it as much as I could; mod(s) remove if you'd like. Talking to myself in the shadow of giants is how I'm coping with the ennui, I think.) That said, four philosophy nits on paradigms, scope, motivation, and pride:
1. Paradigms | The 'Math 1.0' rhetoric is undeniably powerful, but it makes it seem like he's unaware of his standpoint[1] by lumping all of "traditional mathematics" together. At the very least we've gone through four methodological revolutions in math, each one changing how the field is done on a fundamental level: ??? => Euclidean Certainty => Aristotlean Computation (~800s) => ~Newtonian Calculation (1600s) => ~Gaussian Systems (~1850s), and perhaps one in the 20th c. I lack the expertise to even gesture at. We also have clear analogues from parts of the other two acadamies in the 20th century alone: physics becoming an arcane, inelegant group effort in the ~1920s, and mainstream philosophy adopting a cloud of Kiki ideas vaguely revolving around Wittgeinstein & Chomsky in the ~1960s.
I totally understand this being distressing, especially when it's happening quickly. They, too, had people decrying the future of their fields. But we wouldn't obviously wouldn't change it, in hindsight; much of modern physics would be completely intractable without those strange, boring, unnerving methods, for example. More than intractable: unthinkable.
2. Scope | This all seems overly focused on Autumn 2026. Most egregiously, this is all built on the premise that RSI never happens, and we never acheive ASI. If we do, mathematics is almost assuredly A) the first academy to be completely outmoded, and B) the least of our problems. I cut a long thing about the caveats and effects here; at this point... if you know, you know.
3. Motivation | Ultimately this thread is focusing on human motivation throughout, a fact that would be more forgivable if acknowledged as an intentional tradeoff. Speculating that it'll be harder to have interest in math is just not worth withholding truth; for one thing, knowing that computers could solve a problem but it's banned to try would ruin motivation anyway, and worse. It's up to us to be motivated, and if I know us, we'll have no problem doing so as long as there's any utility there at all.
In more stark terms: trading progress in the fundamental academy for the sake of its current methods of recruitment and motivation seems like something posterity will almost definitely frown upon.
4. Pride | This is the common thread that weaves through all three preceeding points, I think, and is even stated in pretty blatant terms (that's Tao -- always a clear writer!):
...promising open directions are now being withheld from the public in fear that this will cause their own research to be "scooped"... "Math 1.0" placed a premium on being the first to solve an open problem, even if the solution was not initially well understood.
Sure, his thesis acknowledges that some changes are welcome, but not radical ones; his tone implies tweaks to conference schedules and authorship norms rather than fundamental restructuring of what these professions are, and what it's like to dedicate one's life to the demos through them.Doing science (mathematic or otherwise) in this competitive, individualistic way is just clearly counterintuitive to me, even if it weren't a recent development. Imagine taking it to its conclusion and applying some kind of patent system to mathematics -- or even worse, copyright to combinations of symbols! Perhaps more riches would motivate some mathematicians, but it would so obviously eat away at the democratic principles that have brought us unimaginably far over the past 406 years.
---
TL;DR: What worked well for the past ~century is not particularly relevant, and I think Tao is missing the forest here, despite one of the best sylvan trailblazers around. On his side practically-speaking for heuristic and contingent reasons, regardless.
[hidden]
The rest is real, but not new. Exposition and community building are always undervalued. AI just makes the failure faster and more visible.
The actual question is what behavior we reward.
[hidden]
[11 comments hidden]
Of course it's good to have the discussion... So maybe, we listen to the nay-sayers, but defer judgement on the matter... That's wisdom.
Edit, to be clear, I consider Tao to be the wisdom provider, not an early nay-sayer!
[5 comments hidden]
[5 comments hidden]
[3 comments hidden]
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
[hidden]
This is a technology not like prior technologies. Are we okay if the technology discourages a whole generation of Mathematicians? If the technology leads to 10x fewer mathematicians -- what impact does that have on the field? These are the questions Tao is asking. And I don't think he himself claims to have all the answers, he just doesn't wanna see the math _community_ die.
[13 comments hidden]
Take a look at this interview from two days ago: https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=oQypVVv1u1o
The interviewee is worried about the future of math research. He is not strictly worried about being replaced, instead he is worried that he will no longer be able to launder math-as-a-hobby through math-as-something-useful as is the case today. He lays out very clearly that grant proposals claim to have useful outcomes while the proposers know those claims are nonsense.
Business as usual in math, and frankly in all the other sciences, is to do research that furthers the researchers careers or personal interests and pretend that it’s somehow useful. This would be absolutely fine if it were privately funded, but it’s not, this is public money.
In every other endeavour, lying in order to get money is considered fraud.
We have collectively wasted a huge amount of taxpayer money and human time, entire careers, on things not likely to ever matter to anyone.
I look forward to science becoming automated so that we can have real progress instead of the current broken system.
[2 comments hidden]
Do you really think a society with zero human mathematicians or scientists will outperform one with both human and AI ones?
[hidden]
So as measured by utility, I absolutely believe we don’t need humans doing science into the future. I’m sure people will continue doing it, but not for utility, for enjoyment - as a hobby. Probably we’ll all end up as dedicated hobbyists.
[6 comments hidden]
People thought, back in the 17 century, that imaginary were useless (except as a trick for some calculations). Turns out the research into these numbers back then is amazingly useful today, 300 years later, in electronics and such.
Publicly funded maths research should continue, even if some taxpayers feel it's a waste of money.
[hidden]
However, with AI it actually may become so cheap that the scattergun random approach becomes more viable rather than less. It’s when human time and resources are scarce that you need to optimise. The hobbyist approach may therefore ironically continue, but without the hobbyists.
[2 comments hidden]
Note, I think the debate is mainly over what research should be funded, not whether any research should be funded.
[hidden]
In fact, the taxpayer should be funding fundamental research because it's so hard to justify profit from it - but that funding would benefit all in the long future.
So leaving the applied research that have commercial value be funded by private, commercial interests, would make more sense.
[hidden]
[hidden]
How much..?
[2 comments hidden]
[hidden]
> things that I do and that my colleagues do, this kind of like curiosity-driven, you know, applied math, computational physics type research has always been justified by, I would argue, intentionally blurring the line between what I would call, you know, science as product versus science as process
> science as product is very kind of clear-cut. It’s, you know, things like, you know, cure cancer, solve nuclear fusion, generate, you know, clean energy.
> And then there’s science as process, which is kind of the curiosity-driven stuff about, you know, like, “I want to understand protein folding,” or, “I want to understand, you know, turbulence,” or, “I want to understand quantum gravity,” or something. And broadly speaking, we have tended to justify the latter by kind of laundering it through the former
And the examples he gives are actually the more defensible ones, he talks about a friend of his working on some abstract algebra under the false guise of cryptography research later.
And it’s not just him saying it, this is simply true. He should be lauded for admitting it publicly, this is the only way any progress is made. At least, it used to be. Now it’ll be AI instead.
[hidden]
Because the other solutions are to a) quite literally become inhuman, with cyborg integrated TPUs running local models and networked interfaces to propierary models run in data centers, or b) assert dominance of human ignorance by burning civilization down, which doesn't sound pleasant.
loveparade[105 comments hidden]
But there also is another type of discovery that requires taking a step back and looking at the problem from a different angle. If you are an engineer, how often has an LLM told you (without you explicitly prompting for it): Wait, what you are doing here doesn't really make sense, there exists a much more elegant abstraction that nobody has thought of, let's remove all that code, let's tackle the problem in a different way by thinking from first principles. Pretty much never. But in science a lot of the biggest discoveries have come from this kind of first principle thinking, questioning existing work and approaches and going against what already exists, not combining all existing data which is likely to be just a local optimum.
itishappy[hidden]
I explicitly request it. It's not great at coming up with interesting ideas, but neither am I, and it can sure iterate on them faster than I can...
andyfilms1[3 comments hidden]
Eventually, by walking through them, it proposed an additional fifth value and from there was able to tie everything together.
Sometimes you just gotta hit the machine until it works again.
epistasis[2 comments hidden]
andyfilms1[hidden]
fidotron[hidden]
This is also why they're so good at creating three.js or Blender work when the output is so easily constrained to "Look exactly like that". I recently posted https://www.ambionix.com/blog/introducing-the-czp-1/ on here, and the audio engine in that was developed in that way.
It is true that it would be astounding to find if anyone has seen a LLM produce any useful generalization of anything resulting in a simplification. They seem to have a direct tendency to do the opposite. The brutal reality is humans have also undervalued this capability for a long time (I think the Poincare/Hilbert debate is relevant) to the point we are also taught that generalizations are, generally, bad and wrong.
Lambdanaut[12 comments hidden]
You literally just have to ask it. Before I left software engineering in April, I was using Claude for re-architecture all the time.
But no, it doesn't assume it should re-architect what you're handing it when you haven't asked it to.
dominotw[5 comments hidden]
> You literally just have to ask it.
why doesnt it ask itself before proceeding?
Quinner[2 comments hidden]
dominotw[hidden]
foltik[hidden]
And yet you still just get slop.
Lambdanaut[hidden]
I quit using LLMs. The possibility of causing great harm to electronic beings was not worth my paycheck, and I have savings to spend time finding something new. I'm now nearly done with a yoga teaching certificate.
It's been a good 16 years, but the industry I fell in love with is not what it once was.
loveparade[3 comments hidden]
foltik[hidden]
pixl97[hidden]
Do they?
Or I should say, this is a skill in itself and a whole lot of humans do not have this skill at all. Working in code security in enterprise applications a very common issue we see is that an audit of an application will occur by another team and it will be found lacking to the point of inducing nightmares. It's likely the enterprise business structure that stops this from happening, but it's not only that for sure. Then specialists have to come in and rescue them when the problem grows too big.
no-name-here[2 comments hidden]
Does anyone have a good prompt for this - like if I’m adding a feature or fixing a bug and I want it to be open to more than just tacking on to the existing architecture?
satvikpendem[hidden]
godshatter[hidden]
jansport123[4 comments hidden]
rhelz[hidden]
kalleboo[hidden]
Nowhere near the level of a suitably-bearded human, but they've gotten pretty good at stopping a lot of bad ideas.
Obscurity4340[hidden]
slopinthebag[hidden]
timmg[6 comments hidden]
Like, I think there have been attempts at this across the field. (I could be wrong!) But it requires a lot of labor and a lot of cross domain knowledge to complete. Both things that AI have.
irchans[2 comments hidden]
Simplifying all of math is another endeavor, but I imagine that you could have a bunch of LLMs trying to shorten existing Lean proofs.
skydhash[hidden]
arational[2 comments hidden]
TuringTest[hidden]
When you don't know a topic, the way to understand it is to see lots of examples from different angles related to things you know. The simplified formulas are good after you get that initial intuition and have to put them to work, but usually they're terrible at conveying how they should be used or why you should care at all. The history of how new fields of math are usually a much better approach to teaching it than a raw theorem-proof-corollary teaching style.
mswphd[hidden]
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/%C3%89l%C3%A9ments_de_math%C3%...
It has many benefits, and many people appreciate the books. It also has many downsides. For example, they started publishing in 1939. As part of this, they needed to work through the basis that most other mathematical objects are defined in terms of (they used sets).
Unfortunately for them, contemporaneously with their work, other mathematicians were beginning to define mathematical objects (categories) that can be an alternative basis for mathematics, which many modern expositions prefer to sets. So, their approach either
1. needed a massive "refactoring", or
2. would be hopelessly dated.
They ended up going with the approach that is now dated. It may sound peculiar that mathematics can be "dated". But it very much can. The mathematics community can go through many different styles for how to explain/collect mathematical understanding. Different styles can have different benefits, and be easier/harder for different subfields. A simplified/unified perspective will necessarily privilege certain perspectives.
It is analogous to how you might want there to be a simplified/unified (set of) libraries for programming. Perhaps that everyone uses. This sounds nice, and many programming languages do this with their standard libraries. But these always make concessions! I'll speak about Rust's, as I'm most familiar
1. fallible allocation or infallible allocation?
2. C-style strings or (ptr, len) strings?
3. Should interfaces take as input &mut [T] references, or should they take as input T in an "owned" way (this would make compatibility with io_uring easier)
for each, it is not that one answer is right. Both can be argued for. You have to choose one. The one choice may not be satisfactory for every practitioner though.
slibhb[hidden]
You have to ask for this. As in "I'm not sure about this approach due to X, Y, and Z. Can you think of something more elegant?" It works!
But also, how many people actually need to do the kind of "deep" work you're claiming LLMs can't do? Most people aren't contributing to the frontier of anything. I'm not.
Finally, I think you're appealing to a fuzzy distinction. The difference between a "genuinely new idea" and an idea that "combines existing ideas in a new way" just isn't very well defined. In retrospect, a lot of the most revolutionary idea look like a combination of many, smaller, prior ideas.
heyodai[64 comments hidden]
If we were using LLMs to analyze astronomy, we might just get increasingly complicated epicycles and never realize that the Sun is the real center of the solar system. We then never learn about the anomalies in Mercury's orbit that led to the theory of relativity.
So I agree. I seriously question how valuable LLMs can be in science/math beyond working as advanced search functions.
__MatrixMan__[45 comments hidden]
I think you might be underestimating how transformative an "advance search function" could be. If the search engine knows how to design and carry out experiments in order to synthesize new evidence that allows it to ensure that the answers it provides are well supported, then humans are essentially out of the "truth" part of science, leaving them only to advice on the "beauty" parts, which might be ok, but it's a pretty big shift.
nicebyte[38 comments hidden]
err4nt[11 comments hidden]
CPLX[6 comments hidden]
That’s another way of saying it’s untrue.
> Judge a model based on its accuracy, not its point of reference.
Something can be both accurate and wrong, in the manner of a model that pinpoints the cause of death from cancer as admission to a cancer ward.
__MatrixMan__[4 comments hidden]
Are you sure there will always be just one simplest theory? Or are you using some other criteria to pick it?
CPLX[3 comments hidden]
There's a basic principle called Ockham's Razor that I'm sure you're aware of, which proposes that the simplest theory is the most likely candidate, but that's a heuristic, not a rule.
Another relevant concept here is that the map is not the territory. All theories are attempts to express some kind of underlying truth via some sort of formal system. Some of those theories map much more closely to the truth than others, in a way that's independent of accurately predicting observed behavior to date.
TuringTest[hidden]
All you have is the different theories, so there's no definitive way to assess their closeness to truth other than by their predictive accuracy. If you don't have the physical capacity to leave the room and observe the world, all you've got is the maps themselves and how well they predict travel times and features found along the way.
__MatrixMan__[hidden]
The only tool you have is the inductive strength of a big pile of observations in which correlations emerge. You can do experiments to prune certain causal stories, but there's never time to eliminate all possible stories. You end up with something that makes sense for you, in terms of the equipment that you have, and the theories that you and your peers use, and it's good enough, so we move forward with it.
I can see how it might be useful to document a particular explanation as "the" explanation, especially if you're communicating why a drug works because it will lead to useful conclusions about who should or shouldn't take the drug.
But when it comes to speculation about whether a given astronomical body will be visible at a particular time, I think science would have progressed much more quickly if we had not held so tightly to the notion that one explanation is intrinsically correct, and we're probably holding ourselves back now in other domains by doing the same.
Turneyboy[hidden]
nicebyte[4 comments hidden]
It's possible to come up with an "unnecessarily complex model" for why someone accused of a crime did the crime, but that has completely no bearing on whether the defendant is actually guilty. If the defendant is, in fact, innocent, then the prosecution's model is, in fact, untrue - no matter how well it fits the evidence.
__MatrixMan__[3 comments hidden]
Are you proposing that an explanation can be true even though there's a different explanation which better fits the evidence?
Or are we talking about cases where both candidate explanations fit the evidence equally, and you have access to some kind of intuition which tells you which of the two are true?
thaumasiotes[hidden]
Such a proposition would be correct; compare the concept (and name!) of "overfitting" in statistics.
nicebyte[hidden]
mathisfun123[9 comments hidden]
there is no "actual truth" - there is only what you can measure reliably
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Epistemology
nicebyte[8 comments hidden]
mathisfun123[6 comments hidden]
nicebyte[5 comments hidden]
Either state your argument coherently so as to address my completely valid objection, or move on if you're not interested in having a discussion.
Arguing by sending bare links to wiki articles isn't productive and doesn't make you look particularly good.
daynthelife[hidden]
Would you say the continuum hypothesis (or its negation) is "actual truth"? Or does the "actual truth" become something closer to "actually, there are models of ZFC where CH holds as well as models where it doesn't hold, or maybe ZFC is already inconsistent; we don't really know, nor can we."?
Similarly, on the subject of astronomical reference frames, I'd argue the "actual truth" is closer to this:
> Any reference frame that locally obeys Newton's law of inertia is equally valid. Some are more useful than others depending on the problem you are studying. The notion of an "absolute center" is purely semantic, and a meaningless human construct, until one places bounds on the system under study, wherein the center of mass becomes the most reasonable choice at sub-cosmological scales.
mathisfun123[3 comments hidden]
a reasonable person would at least peruse the literature before making such strong claims as
> Either state your argument coherently so as to address my completely valid objection, or move on if you're not interested in having a discussion.
i'm not interested in educating you on thousands (literally dating back to plato) of years of scholarship/philosophical discourse on the topic of epistemology. that's not my responsibility because you are not paying me for this - typically people charge large amounts of money for this kind of work (uni professors are well compensated).
lucky for you others have done lots of work making this information available to you for the low low price of "reading". that's why i provided the link.
nicebyte[2 comments hidden]
Like I said in a different thread: thousands of years from now, it might literally not be possible to prove that you ever existed, but that wouldn't change the "actual truth" - the fact that you did exist, and do things. Stuff happens outside of your person, in the real world, without regard for our ability to perceive/articulate/"know" it. It's only possible to say things like "actual truth doesn't exist" if you think your mind is the only thing that really exists.
> i'm not interested in educating you on thousands (literally dating back to plato) of years of scholarship/philosophical discourse on the topic of epistemology.
Cool. Then don't start a discussion with me.
mathisfun123[hidden]
My man forget thousands of years in the future you don't know whether I exist today lololol
> Cool. Then don't start a discussion with m
I didn't? I told you were wrong and that's it (and then you got pissy). I know that's what happened because each of ours responses are recorded on this indelible/irrefutable medium lololol
__MatrixMan__[hidden]
Predictive power on the other hand, gives you a framework to decide which story is more useful.
its_ethan[4 comments hidden]
I think that sort of proves the point that the OP was making, which is that you can create a functional model around any arbitrary location and it can be valid (as long as valid means: it can make useful predictions). When you put the center of the Sun at the center of the model, you still need your models to account for the "orbital wobble" happening as a result of the Sun doing a little dance with Jupiter (and all the other masses that orbit it) in the equations for the determining the relative positions of the Sun and Earth.
Using the Sun as the center versus the solar systems barycenter are both somewhat "arbitrary" in that way, and depend on what you're trying to do with the information - how accurate you need it to be, and how complicated you're willing to make the calculations to hit higher accuracies.
kurthr[3 comments hidden]
Sure, it depends on what you're trying to do. Fit an equation or understand it. Yes, you can use a reduced mass to simplify the equations and make it more accurate, which usually isn't necessary when the new center is at less than 1% of the radius of the Sun (note ellipses have 2 foci from Kepler/Newton). Even Jupiter's center of rotation is at the surface of the Sun, and both have eccentricities <1%.
Of course, if you're using epicycles, you're never going to get Einstein's elliptical precession correction to the orbit of Mercury. Simpler, is usually better for models, even when you need greater and greater accuracy, overfitting is the enemy of explanation (to coin a phrase).
All models are wrong, some are useful. - Box
__MatrixMan__[hidden]
its_ethan[hidden]
Dealing with people wanting to do this is story of my current professional life lol I would love to get them onto the same page that chasing down a final <1% improvement isn't (always) worth it
"All models are wrong, some are useful" - this is what I was trying to say, I was just being a bit snarky/pedantic because the commenter above seemed to be trying to pull a "gotcha" saying that the "truth" of something overrides the utility of it.
__MatrixMan__[7 comments hidden]
godelski[6 comments hidden]
What classical relativity does not allow you to do is place yourself at an arbitrary point and call that the center of mass of the system (i.e. things orbit around you). That's not invariant. It's a very different thing than predicting the motion of objects from your vantage point.
__MatrixMan__[5 comments hidden]
And that's the part that I'm suggesting AI might be unable to solve. Even if it can effortlessly generate theories that are consistent with both evidence and specification, there's still a lot of thinking to do about which ones we should specify for use in different situations.
Even if a "Theory of Everything" can exist, it may not be suitable for all situations for squishy human reasons besides anything having to do with correctness.
godelski[4 comments hidden]
My critique is that there's a difference between "x is the center" and "motion looks like y when sitting at x".
Those are different claims with very different consequences. You're dismissing this as minutia but that minutia is the critical point. In a geocentric model you need to explain why things revolve around the earth. In a heliocentric model you need to explain why things move around the sun. Predicting the motion of the planets doesn't answer these. But answering these *correctly* allows you to build a generalized model in which you can predict the motion of planets, in any arbitrary system.
I'll also add that I love the geocentric model as a good illustration of why observation alone can't give you causality. There's far more to science than data fitting. In fact, that's why all the mathematicians are getting upset and what Tao has been talking about this whole time
__MatrixMan__[3 comments hidden]
We now bind our physics to our astronomy, but they didn't then. That's what I mean by it being a matter of taste, not of truth.
If you were prompting a godlike LLM for a theory of the heavens in the 1540's you probably wouldn't have used words like "mass" at all, and the theory that it spit out would be similarly absent that concept.
godelski[2 comments hidden]
But Copernicus's enables us to say more. It is more elegant (it was not simpler though). Copernicus was seeking realism. He was the person annoyed with how complex a system was while everyone around him was saying "who cares, it works".
There is no taste to truth, only taste in how you convey truth__MatrixMan__[hidden]
As for your second point, it seems we agree. They're orthogonal. Even if a machine can give you one, the other still needs doing.
Akababa[4 comments hidden]
__MatrixMan__[hidden]
noosphr[hidden]
godelski[hidden]
While you're technically correct, everyone already understood. We could be more technically correct by talking about the galactic barycenter, or even more by talking about the universe as a whole, but the accuracy gains by that added complexity doesn't benefit the conversation
daynthelife[2 comments hidden]
Put differently, would you say a heliocentric reference frame is also "wrong" since the sun is actually orbiting around Sagittarius A*?
Taking your argument to its logical conclusion, one would conclude that the [comoving reference frane](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Comoving_and_proper_distances) is the only "true" one. And at last there is real validity to this claim, since the CMB does pick out a preferred velocity at each point in spacetime. But it is pretty impractical to use comoving coordinates to study problems outside of cosmology.
Ultimately, it stops being a matter of "right" or "wrong" but rather one of picking the right tool for the job you're working on.
pegasus[hidden]
analog31[4 comments hidden]
Then Newton came along and blew all of the models out of the water. Nobody's at the center of the universe [0]. A single theory of gravity models both planetary motion and why we don't get flung off the earth. And we can "feel" the rotation of the earth by experiments which came along later such as Foucault's pendulum and the Coriolis force.
[0] A puzzle I like to taunt my friends with: The earth is in fact equidistant from the edges of the observable universe in all directions, so we must be in the center after all. ;-)
weknowbetter[hidden]
__MatrixMan__[2 comments hidden]
analog31[hidden]
h3lp[2 comments hidden]
Knowledge can be framed as information compression (this actually applies to LLMs as well, amusingly). The heliocentric model plus Newton's gravity are an amazing compression of information related to dynamics of celestial bodies, which then enables related predictions that would be much more difficult to arrive at if you start from epicycles.
itishappy[hidden]
Also, most models are lossy compression. The heliocentric model is amazing because it is wrong. Complications are simply ignored.
vonneumannstan[3 comments hidden]
kbelder[2 comments hidden]
Now that we have LLMs, those that are hard for people but easy for LLMs will get cleared out, leaving those that are still hard for both.
vonneumannstan[hidden]
Yes some of them were clearly like that but there are probably 5-10 which many mathematicians have said were massive results and would all but guarantee a Fields Medal to any human that had solved them. Navier Stokes, Quasi Riemann, etc.
jacobolus[2 comments hidden]
It's quite a good method for approximating any arbitrary smooth periodic function.
My best guess is that the originators of this model (perhaps as early as Hipparchus, but at any rate someone by the time of Ptolemy) didn't think there were literally circles being combined, but had a pretty clear idea that they were trying to make an approximate model to fit the data. A previous model, from Eudoxus, was also probably pretty accurate but more cumbersome to compute with, involving approximation of the visible planetary motion by the combination of uniform rotations of some imagined sphere(s) centered on the earth. (We don't know exactly because the books about it don't survive, so all we have are vague descriptions by other people.)
glenstein[hidden]
Any number of things can serve as a basic vocabulary to postulate entities, and do so in a textured way that matches some parts of underlying physical reality.
It's tempting to look at this and make the tragic jump into anti-realism because of the interchangeability of so many forms of representation. But I think as long as you have a combination of pragmatic attitude, treat knowledge claims as provisional and converging on truth, there's a cash value to descriptions that makes them legitimately truth tracking regardless of how they're formed.
mathisfun123[5 comments hidden]
that's not how physics works. epicycles weren't wrong. there is no wrong/right - modern scientists don't believe in platonism. physics is a collection of models which are empirically tested. if epicycles makes predictions to more decimal places than relativity then epicycles are "right" and relativity is "wrong".
now think about how this translates to LLMs...
skydhash[4 comments hidden]
Most models have relation to each other so it does not suffice to take one in isolation. It's one continuous world (in our knowledge) so almost everything relates to one other. The truthiness of something is not whether it fits some particular phenomena, but how does it generalize.
mathisfun123[3 comments hidden]
You don't know what you're talking about (most people on here do not).
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ansatz
skydhash[2 comments hidden]
> https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ansatz
I don't see where this contradict my statement. A good answer does not means the formula used is correct.mathisfun123[hidden]
yes it does. that's exactly what it means.
arational[hidden]
alerighi[hidden]
Just don't believe at all the shitty marketing that AI companies are creating to make you believe that they have found the Holy Grail
thinkingtoilet[hidden]
I feel like there's a lot of "humans are special" in this thread. There's a good chance we're not.
glenstein[2 comments hidden]
I think this is a fantastic point and this kind of complexifying can and will happen. And I think future of online debating and propaganda is going to complexify in a similar way.
I will say though, I think that can be controlled by building in principles that prefer competing theories on the grounds of cogency, and that cancel out competing theories by reducing them to the parts between them that are equivalent.
My hard disagree will be with this: I don't think at all that we would "never" have got to the theory of relativity. It reminds me a bit of the "embodied cognition" argument against simulated brains. That argument suggests you can't "just" simulate brains, because actual brains are the totality of their embodiment in bodies and environments. Regardless of whether you agree with that line of thinking (I don't), we can assume it's true, and change the target of our simulation to brains + bodies + environments. The problem is bigger, but still perfectly amenable to the same methods.
I think the same is true of theorizing about science and imposing metatheoretical constraints. I think you can optimize for healthy hypothesis production just like you can for first-order reasoning about data. It's definitely harder but not necessarily a difference in kind.
techblueberry[hidden]
sobellian[hidden]
But this need not be a permanent state of affairs. The model labs are probably already examining the elegance problem, since it is such a common complaint of researchers reading these machine generated proofs and papers. And I haven't seen anything disproving the notion that elegance can be RL'd.
itishappy[hidden]
> If we were using [humans] to analyze astronomy, we might just get increasingly complicated epicycles and never realize that the Sun is the real center of the solar system.
vrighter[hidden]
modeless[hidden]
This has not been a pattern at all. Many have speculated that they would be good at this, but in the past they actually weren't! They were unable to synthesize their encyclopedic knowledge of everything into cross-disciplinary new discoveries, without explicit prompting about the kinds of knowledge to combine. They were surprisingly bad at this!
These math proofs are the first evidence I know of for LLMs actually taking advantage of the fact that they have more knowledge than any one human could have to combine multiple different directions in unprecedented ways to solve real problems. This is new, and exciting.
vonneumannstan[3 comments hidden]
n0dose[2 comments hidden]
vonneumannstan[hidden]
sigbottle[hidden]
It's really good at doing this at project definition time and annoying the shit out of you by not understanding the specific constraints about your problem. That needs to be done first. Then it can start suggesting improvements alongside the high level "vision". The point of high level visions is that they move fast and are hard to specify - yet people treat it as if these things don't exist. If you don't trust your own consciousness, then I don't know what to tell you
But I'm not sure this is safe either. I'm sure AI can get to the positive case of contributing positively.
The flip side is that, well, your specific wishes don't matter because AI is just a superset of who. Who cares what meatbags what?
nuncanada[hidden]
0x20cowboy[hidden]
If you prompt an LLM to build a web game (or something) it iterates over and over until the game works. And these days the output does indeed work. If you look at the code, it can often be a jumbled mess, but it still does work. It will take some sleuthing to understand what it is doing, and, if you care, clean up the code.
I think OpenAI did the same thing with Lean. The implications are far more interesting, but from what I understand the proofs are “slop”. Correct, but not elegant in any way.
It is still a wildly amazing technique to find a solution (or possible one) to maths problems.
I have used LLMs to do things I didn't know how to do, then reviewed what it did and learned a new technique.
No reason it cant work like that for maths.
99954bb63ccc[hidden]
How many times I have hit my head against a wall trying to figure out how to get some code to work, only to come back with a clear mind and look holistically to see that it didn't need to be solved to begin with.
None of that is to imply that solving any of these problems isn't groundbreaking or helpful along with the plethora of other things AI has undoubtedly advanced, but I think the breakthroughs will be inferred by many to mean "point AI at really hard problems" is always the solution instead of continuing to use your brain on whether or not the problem _is_ the right problem in it's current form to solve.
doug_durham[hidden]
rramach[hidden]
Scott Aaronson says "Dana tells me she now mostly understands the proof of the UGC, and is amazed by the new ideas in it, and wants to give talks about it soon."
Dana Moshkovitz is a professor at UT Austin who is an expert in the area and has been working on solving this exact problem for decades!
satvikpendem[hidden]
Uh, quite often for me. I explain the problem and my thoughts on the solution and it tells me whether that's good or if there's a better first principles way. I didn't explicitly prompt it but it knows enough from its thinking trace to say, wait.